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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Texas Counties versus United States

Colon & Rectum

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by count

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Texas


Harris County


Dallas County


Bexar County


Tarrant County


El Paso County


Travis County


Collin County


Hidalgo County


Denton County


Fort Bend County


Montgomery County


Williamson County


Galveston County


Nueces County


Brazoria County


Cameron County


Lubbock County


Bell County


Jefferson County


McLennan County


Smith County


Webb County


Johnson County


Ector County


Hays County


Ellis County


Grayson County


Parker County


Wichita County


Guadalupe County


Taylor County


Henderson County


Comal County


Kaufman County


Gregg County


Bowie County


Potter County


Tom Green County


Midland County


Randall County


Hunt County


Brazos County


Liberty County


Angelina County


Victoria County


San Patricio County


Orange County


Wise County


Bastrop County


Anderson County


Van Zandt County


Nacogdoches County


Hood County


Kerr County


Polk County


Atascosa County


Harrison County


Jim Wells County


Rusk County


Hardin County


Lamar County


Wood County


Burnet County


Navarro County


Rockwall County


Val Verde County


Wilson County


Caldwell County


Medina County


Walker County


Wharton County


Fannin County


Hill County


Washington County


Aransas County


Coryell County


Maverick County


Starr County


Upshur County


Jasper County


Palo Pinto County


Cherokee County


Austin County


Cooke County


Kleberg County


Lampasas County


Brown County


Cass County


Matagorda County


Milam County


Bosque County


Gillespie County


Howard County


DeWitt County


Erath County


Fayette County


Kendall County


San Jacinto County


Shelby County


Chambers County


Grimes County


Uvalde County


Waller County


Hopkins County


Colorado County


Hale County


Lavaca County


Houston County


Bandera County


Limestone County


Montague County


Morris County


Panola County


Gonzales County


Eastland County


Tyler County


Young County


Gray County


Burleson County


Llano County


Hutchinson County


Trinity County


Freestone County


Jones County


Red River County


Callahan County


Coleman County


Newton County


Calhoun County


Leon County


Jackson County


Bee County


Dawson County


Hamilton County


Robertson County


Andrews County Duval County Frio County Hockley County Karnes County Lee County Moore County Nolan County Pecos County Rains County Reeves County Scurry County Terry County Wilbarger County Willacy County Zavala County Archer County Armstrong County Bailey County Baylor County Blanco County Borden County Brewster County Briscoe County Brooks County Camp County Carson County Castro County Childress County Clay County Cochran County Coke County Collingsworth County Comanche County Concho County Cottle County Crane County Crockett County Crosby County Culberson County Dallam County Deaf Smith County Delta County Dickens County Dimmit County Donley County Edwards County Falls County Fisher County Floyd County Foard County Franklin County Gaines County Garza County Glasscock County Goliad County Hall County Hansford County Hardeman County Hartley County Haskell County Hemphill County Hudspeth County Irion County Jack County Jeff Davis County Jim Hogg County Kenedy County Kent County Kimble County King County Kinney County Knox County La Salle County Lamb County Lipscomb County Live Oak County Loving County Lynn County Madison County Marion County Martin County Mason County McCulloch County McMullen County Menard County Mills County Mitchell County Motley County Ochiltree County Oldham County Parmer County Presidio County Reagan County Real County Refugio County Roberts County Runnels County Sabine County San Augustine County San Saba County Schleicher County Shackelford County Sherman County Somervell County Stephens County Sterling County Stonewall County Sutton County Swisher County Terrell County Throckmorton County Titus County Upton County Ward County Wheeler County Winkler County Yoakum County Zapata County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/16/2026 7:42 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Archer County, Armstrong County, Bailey County, Baylor County, Blanco County, Borden County, Brewster County, Briscoe County, Brooks County, Camp County, Carson County, Castro County, Childress County, Clay County, Cochran County, Coke County, Collingsworth County, Comanche County, Concho County, Cottle County, Crane County, Crockett County, Crosby County, Culberson County, Dallam County, Deaf Smith County, Delta County, Dickens County, Dimmit County, Donley County, Edwards County, Falls County, Fisher County, Floyd County, Foard County, Franklin County, Gaines County, Garza County, Glasscock County, Goliad County, Hall County, Hansford County, Hardeman County, Hartley County, Haskell County, Hemphill County, Hudspeth County, Irion County, Jack County, Jeff Davis County, Jim Hogg County, Kenedy County, Kent County, Kimble County, King County, Kinney County, Knox County, La Salle County, Lamb County, Lipscomb County, Live Oak County, Loving County, Lynn County, Madison County, Marion County, Martin County, Mason County, McCulloch County, McMullen County, Menard County, Mills County, Mitchell County, Motley County, Ochiltree County, Oldham County, Parmer County, Presidio County, Reagan County, Real County, Refugio County, Roberts County, Runnels County, Sabine County, San Augustine County, San Saba County, Schleicher County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Somervell County, Stephens County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Sutton County, Swisher County, Terrell County, Throckmorton County, Titus County, Upton County, Ward County, Wheeler County, Winkler County, Yoakum County, Zapata County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Andrews County, Duval County, Frio County, Hockley County, Karnes County, Lee County, Moore County, Nolan County, Pecos County, Rains County, Reeves County, Scurry County, Terry County, Wilbarger County, Willacy County, Zavala County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.