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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Kentucky Counties versus United States

Colon & Rectum

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Kentucky


Boone County


Bourbon County


Boyle County


Campbell County


Fayette County


Graves County


Henderson County


Jefferson County


Jessamine County


McCracken County


Pulaski County


Anderson County


Breathitt County


Calloway County


Casey County


Christian County


Daviess County


Fleming County


Franklin County


Garrard County


Grant County


Greenup County


Hart County


Henry County


Hopkins County


Johnson County


Letcher County


Madison County


Marshall County


Mason County


Meade County


Montgomery County


Morgan County


Muhlenberg County


Ohio County


Oldham County


Rowan County


Shelby County


Simpson County


Taylor County


Wayne County


Whitley County


Woodford County


Boyd County


Hardin County


Barren County


Bath County


Bell County


Carter County


Clay County


Floyd County


Grayson County


Harlan County


Harrison County


Kenton County


Knox County


Laurel County


Lincoln County


Logan County


Marion County


Mercer County


Monroe County


Nelson County


Pike County


Powell County


Rockcastle County


Warren County


Bullitt County


Perry County


Adair County Allen County Breckinridge County Caldwell County Clark County Clinton County Edmonson County Lawrence County Leslie County Lewis County Magoffin County McCreary County Pendleton County Russell County Scott County Todd County Wolfe County Ballard County Bracken County Butler County Carlisle County Carroll County Crittenden County Cumberland County Elliott County Estill County Fulton County Gallatin County Green County Hancock County Hickman County Jackson County Knott County Larue County Lee County Livingston County Lyon County Martin County McLean County Menifee County Metcalfe County Nicholas County Owen County Owsley County Robertson County Spencer County Trigg County Trimble County Union County Washington County Webster County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/13/2026 12:41 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Ballard County, Bracken County, Butler County, Carlisle County, Carroll County, Crittenden County, Cumberland County, Elliott County, Estill County, Fulton County, Gallatin County, Green County, Hancock County, Hickman County, Jackson County, Knott County, Larue County, Lee County, Livingston County, Lyon County, Martin County, McLean County, Menifee County, Metcalfe County, Nicholas County, Owen County, Owsley County, Robertson County, Spencer County, Trigg County, Trimble County, Union County, Washington County, Webster County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Adair County, Allen County, Breckinridge County, Caldwell County, Clark County, Clinton County, Edmonson County, Lawrence County, Leslie County, Lewis County, Magoffin County, McCreary County, Pendleton County, Russell County, Scott County, Todd County, Wolfe County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.