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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Pennsylvania Counties versus United States

Colon & Rectum

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by rateratio

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Pennsylvania


Elk County


Schuylkill County


Clearfield County


Cambria County


Carbon County


Fayette County


Susquehanna County


Wyoming County


Jefferson County


Bedford County


Juniata County


Armstrong County


Washington County


Mifflin County


Lackawanna County


Mercer County


Clarion County


Crawford County


Monroe County


Tioga County


Columbia County


Lawrence County


Philadelphia County


Northumberland County


Perry County


Clinton County


Luzerne County


Huntingdon County


Delaware County


McKean County


Potter County


Wayne County


York County


Erie County


Bradford County


Franklin County


Lebanon County


Westmoreland County


Snyder County


Greene County


Allegheny County


Blair County


Indiana County


Somerset County


Lycoming County


Lehigh County


Dauphin County


Butler County


Adams County


Venango County


Northampton County


Montgomery County


Lancaster County


Pike County


Warren County


Beaver County


Berks County


Cumberland County


Bucks County


Centre County


Chester County


Union County


Cameron County Forest County Fulton County Montour County Sullivan County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/28/2024 2:26 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Cameron County, Forest County, Fulton County, Montour County, Sullivan County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.