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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2012-2016

Texas Counties versus United States

Colon & Rectum

All Races, Both Sexes

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes

  • Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
  • Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

  • Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


    United States


    Texas


    Anderson County


    Atascosa County


    Bowie County


    Burleson County


    Callahan County


    DeWitt County


    Gonzales County


    Howard County


    Jasper County


    Wichita County


    Ellis County


    Galveston County


    Gregg County


    Jefferson County


    Kaufman County


    Orange County


    Aransas County


    Bee County


    Bosque County


    Cass County


    Chambers County


    Colorado County


    Cooke County


    Coryell County


    Ector County


    Erath County


    Freestone County


    Gray County


    Grimes County


    Hale County


    Hill County


    Houston County


    Jim Wells County


    Jones County


    Lamb County


    Lampasas County


    Lavaca County


    Limestone County


    Llano County


    Milam County


    Montague County


    Moore County


    Morris County


    Nacogdoches County


    Newton County


    Palo Pinto County


    Parker County


    Polk County


    Red River County


    Robertson County


    Runnels County


    Shelby County


    Starr County


    Taylor County


    Tyler County


    Uvalde County


    Walker County


    Webb County


    Wharton County


    Wise County


    Wood County


    Young County


    Cameron County


    Hidalgo County


    Maverick County


    Wilson County


    Angelina County


    Austin County


    Bastrop County


    Bell County


    Bexar County


    Brazoria County


    Brazos County


    Brown County


    Burnet County


    Caldwell County


    Comal County


    Dallas County


    Eastland County


    El Paso County


    Fannin County


    Fayette County


    Gillespie County


    Grayson County


    Guadalupe County


    Hardin County


    Harris County


    Harrison County


    Hays County


    Henderson County


    Hood County


    Hopkins County


    Hunt County


    Hutchinson County


    Johnson County


    Kendall County


    Kerr County


    Kleberg County


    Lamar County


    Leon County


    Liberty County


    Lubbock County


    Matagorda County


    McLennan County


    Medina County


    Midland County


    Montgomery County


    Navarro County


    Nueces County


    Panola County


    Potter County


    Randall County


    Rockwall County


    Rusk County


    San Patricio County


    Tarrant County


    Titus County


    Tom Green County


    Upshur County


    Val Verde County


    Van Zandt County


    Victoria County


    Waller County


    Washington County


    Bandera County


    Cherokee County


    Collin County


    Denton County


    Fort Bend County


    San Jacinto County


    Smith County


    Travis County


    Williamson County


    Calhoun County Comanche County Franklin County Frio County Gaines County Goliad County Hockley County Jackson County Lee County Marion County Sabine County Scurry County Wilbarger County Willacy County Andrews County Archer County Armstrong County Bailey County Baylor County Blanco County Borden County Brewster County Briscoe County Brooks County Camp County Carson County Castro County Childress County Clay County Cochran County Coke County Coleman County Collingsworth County Concho County Cottle County Crane County Crockett County Crosby County Culberson County Dallam County Dawson County Deaf Smith County Delta County Dickens County Dimmit County Donley County Duval County Edwards County Falls County Fisher County Floyd County Foard County Garza County Glasscock County Hall County Hamilton County Hansford County Hardeman County Hartley County Haskell County Hemphill County Hudspeth County Irion County Jack County Jeff Davis County Jim Hogg County Karnes County Kenedy County Kent County Kimble County King County Kinney County Knox County La Salle County Lipscomb County Live Oak County Loving County Lynn County Madison County Martin County Mason County McCulloch County McMullen County Menard County Mills County Mitchell County Motley County Nolan County Ochiltree County Oldham County Parmer County Pecos County Presidio County Rains County Reagan County Real County Reeves County Refugio County Roberts County San Augustine County San Saba County Schleicher County Shackelford County Sherman County Somervell County Stephens County Sterling County Stonewall County Sutton County Swisher County Terrell County Terry County Throckmorton County Trinity County Upton County Ward County Wheeler County Winkler County Yoakum County Zapata County Zavala County

    Notes:
    Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/26/2020 2:29 am.

    Trend2
         Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
         Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
         Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
    Rate Comparison
         Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
         Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
         Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

    * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
    ** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
    1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
    2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.7.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
    3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
    Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
    Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

    State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

    Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
    Andrews County, Archer County, Armstrong County, Bailey County, Baylor County, Blanco County, Borden County, Brewster County, Briscoe County, Brooks County, Camp County, Carson County, Castro County, Childress County, Clay County, Cochran County, Coke County, Coleman County, Collingsworth County, Concho County, Cottle County, Crane County, Crockett County, Crosby County, Culberson County, Dallam County, Dawson County, Deaf Smith County, Delta County, Dickens County, Dimmit County, Donley County, Duval County, Edwards County, Falls County, Fisher County, Floyd County, Foard County, Garza County, Glasscock County, Hall County, Hamilton County, Hansford County, Hardeman County, Hartley County, Haskell County, Hemphill County, Hudspeth County, Irion County, Jack County, Jeff Davis County, Jim Hogg County, Karnes County, Kenedy County, Kent County, Kimble County, King County, Kinney County, Knox County, La Salle County, Lipscomb County, Live Oak County, Loving County, Lynn County, Madison County, Martin County, Mason County, McCulloch County, McMullen County, Menard County, Mills County, Mitchell County, Motley County, Nolan County, Ochiltree County, Oldham County, Parmer County, Pecos County, Presidio County, Rains County, Reagan County, Real County, Reeves County, Refugio County, Roberts County, San Augustine County, San Saba County, Schleicher County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Somervell County, Stephens County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Sutton County, Swisher County, Terrell County, Terry County, Throckmorton County, Trinity County, Upton County, Ward County, Wheeler County, Winkler County, Yoakum County, Zapata County, Zavala County

    Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
    Calhoun County, Comanche County, Franklin County, Frio County, Gaines County, Goliad County, Hockley County, Jackson County, Lee County, Marion County, Sabine County, Scurry County, Wilbarger County, Willacy County


    Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

    Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.