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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2012-2016

Texas Counties versus United States

Colon & Rectum

All Races, Both Sexes

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

  • Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
  • Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

  • Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

    United States


    Anderson County

    Atascosa County

    Bowie County

    Burleson County

    Callahan County

    DeWitt County

    Gonzales County

    Howard County

    Jasper County

    Wichita County

    Ellis County

    Galveston County

    Gregg County

    Jefferson County

    Kaufman County

    Orange County

    Aransas County

    Bee County

    Bosque County

    Cass County

    Chambers County

    Colorado County

    Cooke County

    Coryell County

    Ector County

    Erath County

    Freestone County

    Gray County

    Grimes County

    Hale County

    Hill County

    Houston County

    Jim Wells County

    Jones County

    Lamb County

    Lampasas County

    Lavaca County

    Limestone County

    Llano County

    Milam County

    Montague County

    Moore County

    Morris County

    Nacogdoches County

    Newton County

    Palo Pinto County

    Parker County

    Polk County

    Red River County

    Robertson County

    Runnels County

    Shelby County

    Starr County

    Taylor County

    Tyler County

    Uvalde County

    Walker County

    Webb County

    Wharton County

    Wise County

    Wood County

    Young County

    Cameron County

    Hidalgo County

    Maverick County

    Wilson County

    Angelina County

    Austin County

    Bastrop County

    Bell County

    Bexar County

    Brazoria County

    Brazos County

    Brown County

    Burnet County

    Caldwell County

    Comal County

    Dallas County

    Eastland County

    El Paso County

    Fannin County

    Fayette County

    Gillespie County

    Grayson County

    Guadalupe County

    Hardin County

    Harris County

    Harrison County

    Hays County

    Henderson County

    Hood County

    Hopkins County

    Hunt County

    Hutchinson County

    Johnson County

    Kendall County

    Kerr County

    Kleberg County

    Lamar County

    Leon County

    Liberty County

    Lubbock County

    Matagorda County

    McLennan County

    Medina County

    Midland County

    Montgomery County

    Navarro County

    Nueces County

    Panola County

    Potter County

    Randall County

    Rockwall County

    Rusk County

    San Patricio County

    Tarrant County

    Titus County

    Tom Green County

    Upshur County

    Val Verde County

    Van Zandt County

    Victoria County

    Waller County

    Washington County

    Bandera County

    Cherokee County

    Collin County

    Denton County

    Fort Bend County

    San Jacinto County

    Smith County

    Travis County

    Williamson County

    Calhoun County Comanche County Franklin County Frio County Gaines County Goliad County Hockley County Jackson County Lee County Marion County Sabine County Scurry County Wilbarger County Willacy County Andrews County Archer County Armstrong County Bailey County Baylor County Blanco County Borden County Brewster County Briscoe County Brooks County Camp County Carson County Castro County Childress County Clay County Cochran County Coke County Coleman County Collingsworth County Concho County Cottle County Crane County Crockett County Crosby County Culberson County Dallam County Dawson County Deaf Smith County Delta County Dickens County Dimmit County Donley County Duval County Edwards County Falls County Fisher County Floyd County Foard County Garza County Glasscock County Hall County Hamilton County Hansford County Hardeman County Hartley County Haskell County Hemphill County Hudspeth County Irion County Jack County Jeff Davis County Jim Hogg County Karnes County Kenedy County Kent County Kimble County King County Kinney County Knox County La Salle County Lipscomb County Live Oak County Loving County Lynn County Madison County Martin County Mason County McCulloch County McMullen County Menard County Mills County Mitchell County Motley County Nolan County Ochiltree County Oldham County Parmer County Pecos County Presidio County Rains County Reagan County Real County Reeves County Refugio County Roberts County San Augustine County San Saba County Schleicher County Shackelford County Sherman County Somervell County Stephens County Sterling County Stonewall County Sutton County Swisher County Terrell County Terry County Throckmorton County Trinity County Upton County Ward County Wheeler County Winkler County Yoakum County Zapata County Zavala County

    Created by on 05/26/2020 2:29 am.

         Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
         Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
         Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
    Rate Comparison
         Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
         Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
         Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

    * Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
    ** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
    1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
    2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
    3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
    Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The 1969-2016 US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
    Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

    State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

    Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
    Andrews County, Archer County, Armstrong County, Bailey County, Baylor County, Blanco County, Borden County, Brewster County, Briscoe County, Brooks County, Camp County, Carson County, Castro County, Childress County, Clay County, Cochran County, Coke County, Coleman County, Collingsworth County, Concho County, Cottle County, Crane County, Crockett County, Crosby County, Culberson County, Dallam County, Dawson County, Deaf Smith County, Delta County, Dickens County, Dimmit County, Donley County, Duval County, Edwards County, Falls County, Fisher County, Floyd County, Foard County, Garza County, Glasscock County, Hall County, Hamilton County, Hansford County, Hardeman County, Hartley County, Haskell County, Hemphill County, Hudspeth County, Irion County, Jack County, Jeff Davis County, Jim Hogg County, Karnes County, Kenedy County, Kent County, Kimble County, King County, Kinney County, Knox County, La Salle County, Lipscomb County, Live Oak County, Loving County, Lynn County, Madison County, Martin County, Mason County, McCulloch County, McMullen County, Menard County, Mills County, Mitchell County, Motley County, Nolan County, Ochiltree County, Oldham County, Parmer County, Pecos County, Presidio County, Rains County, Reagan County, Real County, Reeves County, Refugio County, Roberts County, San Augustine County, San Saba County, Schleicher County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Somervell County, Stephens County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Sutton County, Swisher County, Terrell County, Terry County, Throckmorton County, Trinity County, Upton County, Ward County, Wheeler County, Winkler County, Yoakum County, Zapata County, Zavala County

    Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
    Calhoun County, Comanche County, Franklin County, Frio County, Gaines County, Goliad County, Hockley County, Jackson County, Lee County, Marion County, Sabine County, Scurry County, Wilbarger County, Willacy County

    Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

    Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.