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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Texas Counties versus United States

Pancreas

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by rate

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Texas


Hardin County


Lavaca County


Bandera County


Upshur County


McLennan County


Jasper County


Waller County


Jim Wells County


Fannin County


Anderson County


Hill County


Atascosa County


Wharton County


Llano County


Liberty County


Hale County


Navarro County


Grimes County


Matagorda County


Colorado County


Ellis County


Smith County


Grayson County


Lamar County


Wood County


Bowie County


Polk County


Rockwall County


Titus County


Johnson County


Washington County


Brown County


Wichita County


Orange County


Brazoria County


Gregg County


Angelina County


Hunt County


Hopkins County


Brazos County


Nacogdoches County


Ector County


Parker County


Uvalde County


Henderson County


Bell County


Lubbock County


Randall County


Cherokee County


Wilson County


Dallas County


Kerr County


Walker County


San Jacinto County


Fayette County


Panola County


Galveston County


Guadalupe County


Erath County


Comal County


Victoria County


Fort Bend County


Montgomery County


Bexar County


San Patricio County


Tarrant County


Williamson County


Jefferson County


Harris County


Burnet County


Taylor County


Midland County


Potter County


Tom Green County


El Paso County


Webb County


Rusk County


Nueces County


Milam County


Kaufman County


Harrison County


Hays County


Denton County


Collin County


Cooke County


Travis County


Bastrop County


Wise County


Cameron County


Aransas County


Medina County


Van Zandt County


Hood County


Austin County


Kendall County


Hidalgo County


Maverick County


Cass County


Bee County Bosque County Caldwell County Chambers County Coryell County Gillespie County Gonzales County Gray County Hamilton County Houston County Howard County Kleberg County Lampasas County Lee County Leon County Montague County Moore County Newton County Palo Pinto County Rains County Robertson County Shelby County Starr County Tyler County Val Verde County Young County Andrews County Archer County Armstrong County Bailey County Baylor County Blanco County Borden County Brewster County Briscoe County Brooks County Burleson County Calhoun County Callahan County Camp County Carson County Castro County Childress County Clay County Cochran County Coke County Coleman County Collingsworth County Comanche County Concho County Cottle County Crane County Crockett County Crosby County Culberson County Dallam County Dawson County DeWitt County Deaf Smith County Delta County Dickens County Dimmit County Donley County Duval County Eastland County Edwards County Falls County Fisher County Floyd County Foard County Franklin County Freestone County Frio County Gaines County Garza County Glasscock County Goliad County Hall County Hansford County Hardeman County Hartley County Haskell County Hemphill County Hockley County Hudspeth County Hutchinson County Irion County Jack County Jackson County Jeff Davis County Jim Hogg County Jones County Karnes County Kenedy County Kent County Kimble County King County Kinney County Knox County La Salle County Lamb County Limestone County Lipscomb County Live Oak County Loving County Lynn County Madison County Marion County Martin County Mason County McCulloch County McMullen County Menard County Mills County Mitchell County Morris County Motley County Nolan County Ochiltree County Oldham County Parmer County Pecos County Presidio County Reagan County Real County Red River County Reeves County Refugio County Roberts County Runnels County Sabine County San Augustine County San Saba County Schleicher County Scurry County Shackelford County Sherman County Somervell County Stephens County Sterling County Stonewall County Sutton County Swisher County Terrell County Terry County Throckmorton County Trinity County Upton County Ward County Wheeler County Wilbarger County Willacy County Winkler County Yoakum County Zapata County Zavala County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/14/2026 6:09 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Andrews County, Archer County, Armstrong County, Bailey County, Baylor County, Blanco County, Borden County, Brewster County, Briscoe County, Brooks County, Burleson County, Calhoun County, Callahan County, Camp County, Carson County, Castro County, Childress County, Clay County, Cochran County, Coke County, Coleman County, Collingsworth County, Comanche County, Concho County, Cottle County, Crane County, Crockett County, Crosby County, Culberson County, Dallam County, Dawson County, DeWitt County, Deaf Smith County, Delta County, Dickens County, Dimmit County, Donley County, Duval County, Eastland County, Edwards County, Falls County, Fisher County, Floyd County, Foard County, Franklin County, Freestone County, Frio County, Gaines County, Garza County, Glasscock County, Goliad County, Hall County, Hansford County, Hardeman County, Hartley County, Haskell County, Hemphill County, Hockley County, Hudspeth County, Hutchinson County, Irion County, Jack County, Jackson County, Jeff Davis County, Jim Hogg County, Jones County, Karnes County, Kenedy County, Kent County, Kimble County, King County, Kinney County, Knox County, La Salle County, Lamb County, Limestone County, Lipscomb County, Live Oak County, Loving County, Lynn County, Madison County, Marion County, Martin County, Mason County, McCulloch County, McMullen County, Menard County, Mills County, Mitchell County, Morris County, Motley County, Nolan County, Ochiltree County, Oldham County, Parmer County, Pecos County, Presidio County, Reagan County, Real County, Red River County, Reeves County, Refugio County, Roberts County, Runnels County, Sabine County, San Augustine County, San Saba County, Schleicher County, Scurry County, Shackelford County, Sherman County, Somervell County, Stephens County, Sterling County, Stonewall County, Sutton County, Swisher County, Terrell County, Terry County, Throckmorton County, Trinity County, Upton County, Ward County, Wheeler County, Wilbarger County, Willacy County, Winkler County, Yoakum County, Zapata County, Zavala County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bee County, Bosque County, Caldwell County, Chambers County, Coryell County, Gillespie County, Gonzales County, Gray County, Hamilton County, Houston County, Howard County, Kleberg County, Lampasas County, Lee County, Leon County, Montague County, Moore County, Newton County, Palo Pinto County, Rains County, Robertson County, Shelby County, Starr County, Tyler County, Val Verde County, Young County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.