Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023
North Carolina Counties versus United States
Pancreas
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by count
Counties
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Priority Index1 1=highest 9=lowest
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Recent Trend2 |
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate |
Average Annual Count
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Age-Adjusted Death Rate deaths per 100,000 (95% Confidence Interval)
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Rate Ratio3 County to US
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Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates (95% Confidence Interval)
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | - | stable | - | 47,668 | 11.3 (11.2, 11.3) | - | -0.3 (-0.8, 0.2) |
| North Carolina | - | rising | - | 1,561 | 11.6 (11.4, 11.9) | - | 0.8 (0.4, 2.1) |
| Wake County | 6 | stable | similar | 117 | 10.4 (9.6, 11.3) | 0.9 | 0.1 (-0.4, 0.8) |
| Mecklenburg County | 6 | stable | similar | 112 | 10.8 (9.9, 11.7) | 1.0 | -0.2 (-0.9, 0.6) |
| Guilford County | 6 | stable | similar | 77 | 11.9 (10.7, 13.2) | 1.1 | 0.6 (-0.1, 1.4) |
| Forsyth County | 6 | stable | similar | 58 | 12.0 (10.7, 13.6) | 1.1 | 0.4 (-1.2, 2.2) |
| Buncombe County | 6 | stable | similar | 47 | 11.2 (9.8, 12.8) | 1.0 | 0.4 (-0.7, 1.8) |
| Durham County | 6 | stable | similar | 43 | 12.4 (10.7, 14.2) | 1.1 | 0.5 (-1.4, 2.8) |
| Cumberland County | 6 | stable | similar | 39 | 11.8 (10.2, 13.6) | 1.1 | 0.6 (-0.6, 2.1) |
| New Hanover County | 6 | stable | similar | 36 | 11.5 (9.9, 13.4) | 1.0 | 0.5 (-1.4, 2.7) |
| Brunswick County | 2 | rising | similar | 36 | 10.9 (9.2, 12.9) | 1.0 | 1.8 (0.2, 4.0) |
| Gaston County | 6 | stable | similar | 29 | 10.0 (8.4, 11.8) | 0.9 | -0.3 (-1.8, 1.3) |
| Davidson County | 2 | rising | similar | 29 | 11.8 (9.9, 13.9) | 1.0 | 1.1 (0.1, 2.4) |
| Iredell County | 6 | stable | similar | 27 | 11.3 (9.4, 13.4) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-1.2, 1.8) |
| Union County | 6 | stable | similar | 27 | 10.5 (8.7, 12.4) | 0.9 | -0.3 (-2.1, 1.9) |
| Henderson County | 8 | falling | similar | 27 | 12.6 (10.5, 15.1) | 1.1 | -16.6 (-26.4, -8.3) |
| Alamance County | 6 | stable | similar | 26 | 11.7 (9.7, 13.9) | 1.0 | 0.8 (-0.9, 2.8) |
| Pitt County | 4 | stable | higher | 26 | 14.2 (11.9, 17.0) | 1.3 | 0.2 (-1.6, 2.2) |
| Cabarrus County | 6 | stable | similar | 26 | 11.0 (9.2, 13.2) | 1.0 | -0.2 (-1.9, 1.9) |
| Johnston County | 6 | stable | similar | 26 | 11.2 (9.3, 13.4) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-1.6, 2.1) |
| Rowan County | 2 | rising | similar | 25 | 12.4 (10.3, 14.9) | 1.1 | 2.1 (0.8, 3.7) |
| Moore County | 6 | stable | similar | 23 | 13.1 (10.8, 15.9) | 1.2 | 0.8 (-0.5, 2.3) |
| Catawba County | 6 | stable | similar | 23 | 10.5 (8.6, 12.7) | 0.9 | 0.1 (-1.4, 1.6) |
| Wayne County | 4 | stable | higher | 23 | 15.5 (12.7, 18.7) | 1.4 | 1.7 (-0.1, 3.8) |
| Randolph County | 6 | stable | similar | 22 | 11.0 (9.0, 13.3) | 1.0 | -0.3 (-1.8, 1.5) |
| Onslow County | 6 | stable | similar | 21 | 13.2 (10.8, 16.1) | 1.2 | 0.6 (-1.1, 2.8) |
| Robeson County | 4 | stable | higher | 21 | 15.1 (12.3, 18.4) | 1.3 | 1.8 (-0.1, 4.2) |
| Harnett County | 1 | rising | higher | 20 | 14.5 (11.8, 17.7) | 1.3 | 2.7 (0.7, 5.7) |
| Rockingham County | 6 | stable | similar | 18 | 12.9 (10.3, 16.0) | 1.1 | -0.3 (-2.2, 1.6) |
| Craven County | 6 | stable | similar | 18 | 11.6 (9.3, 14.4) | 1.0 | -0.9 (-2.6, 0.9) |
| Chatham County | 6 | stable | similar | 17 | 11.3 (9.0, 14.3) | 1.0 | 1.2 (-0.3, 3.4) |
| Caldwell County | 6 | stable | similar | 16 | 13.3 (10.6, 16.8) | 1.2 | 1.7 (-0.8, 13.5) |
| Carteret County | 6 | stable | similar | 16 | 11.9 (9.4, 15.2) | 1.1 | 1.1 (-0.8, 3.4) |
| Cleveland County | 6 | stable | similar | 16 | 11.0 (8.6, 13.9) | 1.0 | 1.3 (-0.4, 3.2) |
| Orange County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 9.3 (7.3, 11.7) | 0.8 | -1.5 (-3.1, 0.4) |
| Burke County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 11.0 (8.6, 14.0) | 1.0 | 0.5 (-1.7, 3.1) |
| Lincoln County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 12.2 (9.5, 15.5) | 1.1 | 0.0 (-2.0, 2.5) |
| Surry County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 13.6 (10.6, 17.2) | 1.2 | 1.1 (-0.8, 3.3) |
| Nash County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 11.3 (8.8, 14.3) | 1.0 | 0.6 (-1.4, 2.7) |
| Wilson County | 6 | stable | similar | 14 | 12.4 (9.6, 15.9) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-2.4, 2.5) |
| Haywood County | 6 | stable | similar | 14 | 11.8 (9.1, 15.3) | 1.0 | -0.1 (-2.3, 2.3) |
| Wilkes County | 6 | stable | similar | 13 | 12.2 (9.4, 15.8) | 1.1 | -0.5 (-2.8, 1.8) |
| Stanly County | 6 | stable | similar | 13 | 14.5 (11.1, 18.8) | 1.3 | 1.5 (-1.0, 4.4) |
| Rutherford County | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 11.6 (8.8, 15.2) | 1.0 | 0.8 (-1.0, 2.8) |
| Columbus County | 4 | stable | higher | 12 | 16.6 (12.6, 21.6) | 1.5 | 2.2 (-0.5, 5.6) |
| Halifax County | 4 | stable | higher | 12 | 15.6 (11.8, 20.5) | 1.4 | 2.1 (-0.3, 5.0) |
| Lenoir County | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 13.4 (10.2, 17.6) | 1.2 | 0.9 (-1.3, 3.5) |
| Sampson County | 6 | stable | similar | 11 | 14.2 (10.7, 18.6) | 1.3 | 0.4 (-1.3, 2.4) |
| Granville County | 2 | rising | similar | 11 | 13.4 (10.0, 17.7) | 1.2 | 25.7 (4.6, 46.5) |
| Pender County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 11.6 (8.6, 15.5) | 1.0 | 1.0 (-1.6, 4.5) |
| Edgecombe County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 14.3 (10.5, 19.2) | 1.3 | 0.8 (-1.7, 3.5) |
| Franklin County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 10.4 (7.6, 14.0) | 0.9 | -2.1 (-16.6, 0.7) |
| Lee County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 11.1 (8.1, 15.0) | 1.0 | 1.0 (-1.8, 4.5) |
| Person County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 14.1 (10.2, 19.3) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-3.8, 3.0) |
| Richmond County | 2 | rising | similar | 9 | 16.1 (11.6, 21.8) | 1.4 | 2.7 (0.1, 5.8) |
| Stokes County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 12.1 (8.6, 16.8) | 1.1 | 0.4 (-2.5, 3.9) |
| Vance County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 14.1 (10.1, 19.3) | 1.2 | 1.5 (-1.1, 4.5) |
| Beaufort County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.0 (7.9, 15.3) | 1.0 | 0.4 (-1.3, 2.4) |
| Macon County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.7 (8.2, 16.4) | 1.0 | 0.8 (-1.4, 3.4) |
| McDowell County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.7 (8.4, 16.2) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-2.1, 2.5) |
| Davie County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.7 (8.3, 16.2) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-2.4, 3.2) |
| Pasquotank County | 6 | stable | similar | 7 | 13.6 (9.4, 19.2) | 1.2 | 1.6 (-17.8, 21.1) |
| Duplin County | 6 | stable | similar | 7 | 9.5 (6.5, 13.5) | 0.8 | -1.6 (-4.9, 1.6) |
| Cherokee County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 12.3 (8.0, 18.4) | 1.1 | 0.3 (-2.3, 3.4) |
| Transylvania County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 9.2 (6.0, 14.1) | 0.8 | 0.7 (-2.3, 4.3) |
| Dare County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 10.4 (6.7, 15.5) | 0.9 | -2.5 (-6.9, 2.4) |
| Scotland County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 12.9 (8.6, 18.8) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-2.9, 3.0) |
| Yadkin County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 10.6 (7.1, 15.6) | 0.9 | 0.3 (-2.7, 3.8) |
| Martin County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 13.2 (8.3, 20.6) | 1.2 | -0.9 (-3.7, 2.0) |
| Hoke County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 10.1 (6.2, 15.5) | 0.9 | -1.4 (-4.0, 1.6) |
| Jackson County | 7 | stable | lower | 5 | 7.7 (4.8, 11.9) | 0.7 | -0.2 (-3.5, 3.5) |
| Polk County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 10.1 (6.3, 16.8) | 0.9 | -0.9 (-3.8, 2.4) |
| Watauga County | 7 | stable | lower | 4 | 7.0 (4.4, 10.9) | 0.6 | -2.8 (-5.7, 0.0) |
| Bertie County | 6 | stable | similar | 4 | 14.2 (8.4, 23.1) | 1.3 | 0.8 (-2.9, 4.8) |
| Bladen County | 7 | stable | lower | 4 | 7.7 (4.6, 12.4) | 0.7 | -2.7 (-5.9, 0.6) |
| Northampton County | 6 | stable | similar | 4 | 9.4 (5.5, 16.3) | 0.8 | -0.6 (-5.0, 4.0) |
| Hertford County | 6 | stable | similar | 3 | 10.8 (6.1, 18.2) | 1.0 | -1.4 (-4.5, 1.5) |
| Alexander County |
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** | similar | 8 | 15.8 (11.3, 21.8) | 1.4 |
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| Anson County |
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** | similar | 4 | 11.5 (6.7, 18.7) | 1.0 |
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| Ashe County |
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** | similar | 6 | 11.0 (7.3, 16.6) | 1.0 |
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| Caswell County |
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** | similar | 5 | 15.3 (9.8, 23.2) | 1.4 |
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| Chowan County |
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** | similar | 3 | 13.6 (7.6, 23.5) | 1.2 |
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| Currituck County |
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** | similar | 3 | 8.0 (4.5, 13.4) | 0.7 |
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| Montgomery County |
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** | similar | 7 | 16.5 (11.5, 23.5) | 1.5 |
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| Swain County |
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** | similar | 4 | 17.8 (10.6, 28.7) | 1.6 |
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| Warren County |
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** | similar | 6 | 15.1 (10.1, 22.7) | 1.3 |
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| Yancey County |
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** | similar | 6 | 15.6 (10.3, 23.5) | 1.4 |
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| Alleghany County |
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** |
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| Avery County |
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** |
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| Camden County |
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** |
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| Clay County |
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** |
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| Gates County |
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** |
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| Graham County |
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** |
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| Greene County |
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** |
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| Hyde County |
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** |
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| Jones County |
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** |
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| Madison County |
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** |
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| Mitchell County |
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** |
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| Pamlico County |
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** |
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| Perquimans County |
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** |
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| Tyrrell County |
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** |
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| Washington County |
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** |
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Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/15/2026 5:09 am.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County, Avery County, Camden County, Clay County, Gates County, Graham County, Greene County, Hyde County, Jones County, Madison County, Mitchell County, Pamlico County, Perquimans County, Tyrrell County, Washington County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Alexander County, Anson County, Ashe County, Caswell County, Chowan County, Currituck County, Montgomery County, Swain County, Warren County, Yancey County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/15/2026 5:09 am.
Trend2
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above
when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below
when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison
Above
when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.Below
when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County, Avery County, Camden County, Clay County, Gates County, Graham County, Greene County, Hyde County, Jones County, Madison County, Mitchell County, Pamlico County, Perquimans County, Tyrrell County, Washington County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Alexander County, Anson County, Ashe County, Caswell County, Chowan County, Currituck County, Montgomery County, Swain County, Warren County, Yancey County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.


