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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Virginia Counties versus United States

Pancreas

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by priority index

Counties
sort alphabetically by name ascending 		Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest
sort by priority index ascending 		Recent Trend2
 County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
 Average Annual Count
sort by count descending 		Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by rate descending 		Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
sort by rate descending 		Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by trend descending
United States - stable - 47,668 11.3 (11.2, 11.3) - -0.3 (-0.8, 0.2)
Virginia - stable - 1,211 11.2 (11.0, 11.5) - 0.2 (-0.1, 0.6)
Botetourt County 9 falling lower 4 6.5 (3.9, 10.6) 0.6 -4.9 (-15.6, -1.9)
Carroll County 9 falling lower 4 7.1 (4.3, 11.8) 0.6 -10.5 (-35.2, -2.8)
Richmond City 8 falling similar 27 10.5 (8.7, 12.5) 0.9 -1.8 (-3.0, -0.6)
Salem City 8 falling similar 4 11.2 (6.7, 18.0) 1.0 -27.3 (-44.8, -2.1)
Suffolk City 8 falling similar 12 10.9 (8.3, 14.0) 1.0 -17.5 (-27.9, -4.3)
Fairfax County 7 stable lower 112 8.8 (8.1, 9.5) 0.8 -0.4 (-1.1, 0.4)
Prince William County 7 stable lower 40 9.5 (8.2, 11.0) 0.8 0.2 (-1.3, 2.1)
Virginia Beach City 7 stable lower 54 9.9 (8.8, 11.2) 0.9 0.1 (-1.2, 1.6)
Accomack County 6 stable similar 8 12.4 (8.7, 17.7) 1.1 -0.5 (-3.8, 2.7)
Albemarle County 6 stable similar 17 10.1 (8.0, 12.6) 0.9 -1.0 (-8.9, 1.4)
Alexandria City 6 stable similar 16 10.8 (8.5, 13.6) 1.0 -0.5 (-2.3, 1.3)
Amherst County 6 stable similar 6 11.6 (7.7, 17.1) 1.0 -0.5 (-3.3, 2.5)
Arlington County 6 stable similar 20 9.7 (7.9, 11.8) 0.9 -1.0 (-2.6, 0.7)
Augusta County 6 stable similar 13 9.6 (7.4, 12.5) 0.9 0.0 (-2.1, 2.5)
Bedford City and County 6 stable similar 14 10.0 (7.7, 12.9) 0.9 -0.4 (-1.9, 1.4)
Buchanan County 6 stable similar 4 12.1 (7.4, 19.5) 1.1 -0.7 (-4.3, 3.4)
Campbell County 6 stable similar 9 11.3 (8.2, 15.3) 1.0 -0.5 (-2.7, 1.8)
Caroline County 6 stable similar 5 12.8 (8.3, 19.0) 1.1 1.9 (-0.7, 5.5)
Chesterfield County 6 stable similar 45 10.3 (9.0, 11.8) 0.9 0.5 (-0.9, 2.2)
Dinwiddie County 6 stable similar 6 16.7 (11.2, 24.2) 1.5 1.8 (-1.5, 6.1)
Fauquier County 6 stable similar 12 11.7 (8.8, 15.3) 1.0 -0.3 (-3.3, 3.3)
Franklin County 6 stable similar 12 12.6 (9.5, 16.6) 1.1 0.9 (-1.6, 4.0)
Frederick County 6 stable similar 17 13.1 (10.4, 16.3) 1.2 -0.9 (-12.0, 3.1)
Hampton City 6 stable similar 20 11.8 (9.6, 14.5) 1.1 0.1 (-1.2, 1.6)
Hanover County 6 stable similar 18 11.6 (9.3, 14.4) 1.0 0.1 (-2.0, 2.8)
Henry County 6 stable similar 11 12.7 (9.4, 17.0) 1.1 -0.8 (-2.9, 1.5)
Hopewell City 6 stable similar 5 16.9 (10.7, 25.5) 1.5 -0.3 (-5.1, 4.6)
James City County 6 stable similar 18 11.3 (9.0, 14.2) 1.0 -1.2 (-3.2, 1.3)
Loudoun County 6 stable similar 43 12.0 (10.5, 13.8) 1.1 0.9 (-0.4, 2.8)
Louisa County 6 stable similar 8 13.3 (9.2, 18.7) 1.2 0.6 (-1.9, 4.0)
Lynchburg City 6 stable similar 10 12.0 (8.9, 15.9) 1.1 -0.1 (-3.1, 2.8)
Manassas City 6 stable similar 5 17.3 (10.9, 25.7) 1.5 1.3 (-2.6, 6.3)
Mecklenburg County 6 stable similar 8 13.7 (9.8, 19.1) 1.2 0.1 (-2.1, 2.4)
Newport News City 6 stable similar 21 11.1 (9.0, 13.4) 1.0 -0.2 (-1.8, 1.5)
Orange County 6 stable similar 7 13.0 (9.0, 18.2) 1.2 0.1 (-2.2, 3.0)
Petersburg City 6 stable similar 6 15.2 (10.3, 21.7) 1.3 0.4 (-1.8, 2.9)
Pittsylvania County 6 stable similar 11 10.9 (8.0, 14.7) 1.0 -0.1 (-1.9, 1.8)
Powhatan County 6 stable similar 5 10.4 (6.6, 15.9) 0.9 -3.3 (-7.3, 1.1)
Pulaski County 6 stable similar 6 11.9 (8.0, 17.4) 1.1 -0.6 (-2.7, 1.6)
Roanoke County 6 stable similar 17 11.3 (9.0, 14.2) 1.0 1.5 (-0.8, 4.2)
Rockingham County 6 stable similar 13 10.2 (7.9, 13.1) 0.9 1.1 (-1.1, 3.6)
Russell County 6 stable similar 5 12.2 (7.8, 18.6) 1.1 0.2 (-2.4, 3.1)
Scott County 6 stable similar 4 10.0 (5.6, 17.0) 0.9 -0.2 (-5.1, 5.1)
Shenandoah County 6 stable similar 10 13.4 (9.8, 18.1) 1.2 1.7 (-1.4, 5.5)
Spotsylvania County 6 stable similar 16 9.8 (7.7, 12.2) 0.9 -0.6 (-2.3, 1.6)
Stafford County 6 stable similar 16 11.5 (9.0, 14.4) 1.0 0.8 (-0.9, 3.1)
Staunton City 6 stable similar 4 10.1 (6.0, 16.3) 0.9 -1.6 (-5.3, 2.0)
Tazewell County 6 stable similar 7 10.0 (6.8, 14.5) 0.9 -2.7 (-13.8, 0.5)
Washington County 6 stable similar 11 11.2 (8.4, 15.0) 1.0 1.0 (-0.9, 3.3)
Westmoreland County 6 stable similar 5 15.4 (10.0, 23.6) 1.4 1.2 (-2.6, 6.2)
Wise County 6 stable similar 5 10.7 (7.0, 16.0) 1.0 0.9 (-2.1, 3.9)
Wythe County 6 stable similar 6 14.4 (9.7, 21.0) 1.3 2.3 (-0.5, 6.0)
York County 6 stable similar 9 9.4 (6.8, 12.7) 0.8 -1.6 (-3.9, 1.1)
Chesapeake City 4 stable higher 39 14.2 (12.2, 16.4) 1.3 0.6 (-1.1, 2.6)
Danville City 4 stable higher 10 16.9 (12.3, 22.7) 1.5 1.5 (-1.5, 4.6)
Norfolk City 4 stable higher 32 13.8 (11.7, 16.2) 1.2 0.5 (-0.7, 1.7)
Portsmouth City 4 stable higher 18 15.7 (12.5, 19.4) 1.4 0.2 (-1.3, 1.8)
Prince Edward County 2 rising similar 4 16.1 (9.6, 25.6) 1.4 3.6 (0.9, 7.0)
Smyth County 2 rising similar 7 14.5 (10.2, 20.6) 1.3 5.9 (2.7, 11.1)
Halifax County with South Boston City 1 rising higher 9 16.6 (11.7, 23.1) 1.5 3.2 (0.5, 6.5)
Henrico County 1 rising higher 60 14.2 (12.6, 15.9) 1.3 3.1 (0.4, 12.9)
Lee County 1 rising higher 6 18.6 (12.3, 27.4) 1.7 3.4 (0.6, 6.9)
Roanoke City 1 rising higher 19 15.2 (12.2, 18.7) 1.3 2.3 (0.7, 4.2)
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City
**
 		** similar 3 11.3 (6.6, 19.7) 1.0
**
Amelia County
**
 		** similar 3 15.2 (8.8, 25.6) 1.3
**
Buckingham County
**
 		** similar 3 11.9 (6.8, 20.3) 1.1
**
Charlottesville City
**
 		** similar 5 11.0 (7.0, 16.5) 1.0
**
Culpeper County
**
 		** similar 9 12.9 (9.3, 17.5) 1.1
**
Dickenson County
**
 		** similar 3 13.7 (7.5, 23.8) 1.2
**
Fairfax City
**
 		** higher 5 19.4 (12.6, 28.5) 1.7
**
Fluvanna County
**
 		** similar 5 12.0 (7.7, 18.3) 1.1
**
Gloucester County
**
 		** similar 9 14.3 (10.3, 19.7) 1.3
**
Goochland County
**
 		** similar 4 9.4 (5.8, 15.2) 0.8
**
Grayson County
**
 		** similar 3 12.9 (7.3, 22.3) 1.1
**
Greene County
**
 		** similar 3 10.5 (5.9, 17.8) 0.9
**
Harrisonburg City
**
 		** similar 5 12.9 (8.3, 18.9) 1.1
**
Isle of Wight County
**
 		** similar 8 13.3 (9.4, 18.5) 1.2
**
King George County
**
 		** similar 5 15.6 (9.9, 23.6) 1.4
**
King William County
**
 		** similar 3 14.5 (8.3, 23.9) 1.3
**
Lancaster County
**
 		** similar 3 13.6 (6.6, 26.9) 1.2
**
Martinsville City
**
 		** higher 4 22.2 (13.1, 35.6) 2.0
**
Montgomery County
**
 		** similar 9 8.9 (6.4, 12.0) 0.8
**
New Kent County
**
 		** similar 4 12.4 (7.2, 20.1) 1.1
**
Northampton County
**
 		** similar 4 14.6 (8.4, 25.4) 1.3
**
Page County
**
 		** similar 6 15.1 (10.2, 22.3) 1.3
**
Patrick County
**
 		** similar 5 12.7 (8.1, 20.2) 1.1
**
Prince George County
**
 		** similar 4 10.2 (6.3, 15.8) 0.9
**
Rockbridge County
**
 		** similar 4 8.4 (4.9, 14.4) 0.7
**
Southampton County
**
 		** similar 3 11.8 (6.7, 20.2) 1.1
**
Warren County
**
 		** similar 5 8.5 (5.4, 13.0) 0.8
**
Waynesboro City
**
 		** similar 4 13.2 (8.3, 20.5) 1.2
**
Winchester City
**
 		** similar 4 11.0 (6.7, 17.3) 1.0
**
Appomattox County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bath County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bristol City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Brunswick County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buena Vista City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charles City County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charlotte County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Clarke County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Colonial Heights City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Covington City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Craig County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Cumberland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Emporia City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Essex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Falls Church City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Floyd County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Franklin City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Fredericksburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Galax City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Giles County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Greensville County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Highland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King and Queen County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lexington City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lunenburg County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Madison County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Manassas Park City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mathews County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Middlesex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Nelson County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Northumberland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Norton City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Nottoway County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Poquoson City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Radford City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Rappahannock County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Richmond County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Surry County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Sussex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Williamsburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/13/2026 3:30 am.

Trend2
     Rising    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above    when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar    when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below    when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Appomattox County, Bath County, Bland County, Bristol City, Brunswick County, Buena Vista City, Charles City County, Charlotte County, Clarke County, Colonial Heights City, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Emporia City, Essex County, Falls Church City, Floyd County, Franklin City, Fredericksburg City, Galax City, Giles County, Greensville County, Highland County, King and Queen County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Madison County, Manassas Park City, Mathews County, Middlesex County, Nelson County, Northumberland County, Norton City, Nottoway County, Poquoson City, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Surry County, Sussex County, Williamsburg City

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City, Amelia County, Buckingham County, Charlottesville City, Culpeper County, Dickenson County, Fairfax City, Fluvanna County, Gloucester County, Goochland County, Grayson County, Greene County, Harrisonburg City, Isle of Wight County, King George County, King William County, Lancaster County, Martinsville City, Montgomery County, New Kent County, Northampton County, Page County, Patrick County, Prince George County, Rockbridge County, Southampton County, Warren County, Waynesboro City, Winchester City

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.

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