Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023
North Carolina Counties versus United States
Pancreas
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by trend
Counties
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Priority Index1 1=highest 9=lowest
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Recent Trend2 |
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate |
Average Annual Count
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Age-Adjusted Death Rate deaths per 100,000 (95% Confidence Interval)
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Rate Ratio3 County to US
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Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates (95% Confidence Interval)
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | - | stable | - | 47,668 | 11.3 (11.2, 11.3) | - | -0.3 (-0.8, 0.2) |
| North Carolina | - | rising | - | 1,561 | 11.6 (11.4, 11.9) | - | 0.8 (0.4, 2.1) |
| Granville County | 2 | rising | similar | 11 | 13.4 (10.0, 17.7) | 1.2 | 25.7 (4.6, 46.5) |
| Harnett County | 1 | rising | higher | 20 | 14.5 (11.8, 17.7) | 1.3 | 2.7 (0.7, 5.7) |
| Richmond County | 2 | rising | similar | 9 | 16.1 (11.6, 21.8) | 1.4 | 2.7 (0.1, 5.8) |
| Columbus County | 4 | stable | higher | 12 | 16.6 (12.6, 21.6) | 1.5 | 2.2 (-0.5, 5.6) |
| Rowan County | 2 | rising | similar | 25 | 12.4 (10.3, 14.9) | 1.1 | 2.1 (0.8, 3.7) |
| Halifax County | 4 | stable | higher | 12 | 15.6 (11.8, 20.5) | 1.4 | 2.1 (-0.3, 5.0) |
| Brunswick County | 2 | rising | similar | 36 | 10.9 (9.2, 12.9) | 1.0 | 1.8 (0.2, 4.0) |
| Robeson County | 4 | stable | higher | 21 | 15.1 (12.3, 18.4) | 1.3 | 1.8 (-0.1, 4.2) |
| Caldwell County | 6 | stable | similar | 16 | 13.3 (10.6, 16.8) | 1.2 | 1.7 (-0.8, 13.5) |
| Wayne County | 4 | stable | higher | 23 | 15.5 (12.7, 18.7) | 1.4 | 1.7 (-0.1, 3.8) |
| Pasquotank County | 6 | stable | similar | 7 | 13.6 (9.4, 19.2) | 1.2 | 1.6 (-17.8, 21.1) |
| Vance County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 14.1 (10.1, 19.3) | 1.2 | 1.5 (-1.1, 4.5) |
| Stanly County | 6 | stable | similar | 13 | 14.5 (11.1, 18.8) | 1.3 | 1.5 (-1.0, 4.4) |
| Cleveland County | 6 | stable | similar | 16 | 11.0 (8.6, 13.9) | 1.0 | 1.3 (-0.4, 3.2) |
| Chatham County | 6 | stable | similar | 17 | 11.3 (9.0, 14.3) | 1.0 | 1.2 (-0.3, 3.4) |
| Davidson County | 2 | rising | similar | 29 | 11.8 (9.9, 13.9) | 1.0 | 1.1 (0.1, 2.4) |
| Carteret County | 6 | stable | similar | 16 | 11.9 (9.4, 15.2) | 1.1 | 1.1 (-0.8, 3.4) |
| Surry County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 13.6 (10.6, 17.2) | 1.2 | 1.1 (-0.8, 3.3) |
| Lee County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 11.1 (8.1, 15.0) | 1.0 | 1.0 (-1.8, 4.5) |
| Pender County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 11.6 (8.6, 15.5) | 1.0 | 1.0 (-1.6, 4.5) |
| Lenoir County | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 13.4 (10.2, 17.6) | 1.2 | 0.9 (-1.3, 3.5) |
| Bertie County | 6 | stable | similar | 4 | 14.2 (8.4, 23.1) | 1.3 | 0.8 (-2.9, 4.8) |
| Edgecombe County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 14.3 (10.5, 19.2) | 1.3 | 0.8 (-1.7, 3.5) |
| Macon County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.7 (8.2, 16.4) | 1.0 | 0.8 (-1.4, 3.4) |
| Rutherford County | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 11.6 (8.8, 15.2) | 1.0 | 0.8 (-1.0, 2.8) |
| Alamance County | 6 | stable | similar | 26 | 11.7 (9.7, 13.9) | 1.0 | 0.8 (-0.9, 2.8) |
| Moore County | 6 | stable | similar | 23 | 13.1 (10.8, 15.9) | 1.2 | 0.8 (-0.5, 2.3) |
| Transylvania County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 9.2 (6.0, 14.1) | 0.8 | 0.7 (-2.3, 4.3) |
| Nash County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 11.3 (8.8, 14.3) | 1.0 | 0.6 (-1.4, 2.7) |
| Onslow County | 6 | stable | similar | 21 | 13.2 (10.8, 16.1) | 1.2 | 0.6 (-1.1, 2.8) |
| Cumberland County | 6 | stable | similar | 39 | 11.8 (10.2, 13.6) | 1.1 | 0.6 (-0.6, 2.1) |
| Guilford County | 6 | stable | similar | 77 | 11.9 (10.7, 13.2) | 1.1 | 0.6 (-0.1, 1.4) |
| Burke County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 11.0 (8.6, 14.0) | 1.0 | 0.5 (-1.7, 3.1) |
| Durham County | 6 | stable | similar | 43 | 12.4 (10.7, 14.2) | 1.1 | 0.5 (-1.4, 2.8) |
| New Hanover County | 6 | stable | similar | 36 | 11.5 (9.9, 13.4) | 1.0 | 0.5 (-1.4, 2.7) |
| Stokes County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 12.1 (8.6, 16.8) | 1.1 | 0.4 (-2.5, 3.9) |
| Beaufort County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.0 (7.9, 15.3) | 1.0 | 0.4 (-1.3, 2.4) |
| Sampson County | 6 | stable | similar | 11 | 14.2 (10.7, 18.6) | 1.3 | 0.4 (-1.3, 2.4) |
| Forsyth County | 6 | stable | similar | 58 | 12.0 (10.7, 13.6) | 1.1 | 0.4 (-1.2, 2.2) |
| Buncombe County | 6 | stable | similar | 47 | 11.2 (9.8, 12.8) | 1.0 | 0.4 (-0.7, 1.8) |
| Yadkin County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 10.6 (7.1, 15.6) | 0.9 | 0.3 (-2.7, 3.8) |
| Cherokee County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 12.3 (8.0, 18.4) | 1.1 | 0.3 (-2.3, 3.4) |
| Pitt County | 4 | stable | higher | 26 | 14.2 (11.9, 17.0) | 1.3 | 0.2 (-1.6, 2.2) |
| Davie County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.7 (8.3, 16.2) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-2.4, 3.2) |
| McDowell County | 6 | stable | similar | 8 | 11.7 (8.4, 16.2) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-2.1, 2.5) |
| Johnston County | 6 | stable | similar | 26 | 11.2 (9.3, 13.4) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-1.6, 2.1) |
| Catawba County | 6 | stable | similar | 23 | 10.5 (8.6, 12.7) | 0.9 | 0.1 (-1.4, 1.6) |
| Iredell County | 6 | stable | similar | 27 | 11.3 (9.4, 13.4) | 1.0 | 0.1 (-1.2, 1.8) |
| Wake County | 6 | stable | similar | 117 | 10.4 (9.6, 11.3) | 0.9 | 0.1 (-0.4, 0.8) |
| Lincoln County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 12.2 (9.5, 15.5) | 1.1 | 0.0 (-2.0, 2.5) |
| Watauga County | 7 | stable | lower | 4 | 7.0 (4.4, 10.9) | 0.6 | -2.8 (-5.7, 0.0) |
| Bladen County | 7 | stable | lower | 4 | 7.7 (4.6, 12.4) | 0.7 | -2.7 (-5.9, 0.6) |
| Dare County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 10.4 (6.7, 15.5) | 0.9 | -2.5 (-6.9, 2.4) |
| Franklin County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 10.4 (7.6, 14.0) | 0.9 | -2.1 (-16.6, 0.7) |
| Henderson County | 8 | falling | similar | 27 | 12.6 (10.5, 15.1) | 1.1 | -16.6 (-26.4, -8.3) |
| Duplin County | 6 | stable | similar | 7 | 9.5 (6.5, 13.5) | 0.8 | -1.6 (-4.9, 1.6) |
| Orange County | 6 | stable | similar | 15 | 9.3 (7.3, 11.7) | 0.8 | -1.5 (-3.1, 0.4) |
| Hertford County | 6 | stable | similar | 3 | 10.8 (6.1, 18.2) | 1.0 | -1.4 (-4.5, 1.5) |
| Hoke County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 10.1 (6.2, 15.5) | 0.9 | -1.4 (-4.0, 1.6) |
| Polk County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 10.1 (6.3, 16.8) | 0.9 | -0.9 (-3.8, 2.4) |
| Martin County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 13.2 (8.3, 20.6) | 1.2 | -0.9 (-3.7, 2.0) |
| Craven County | 6 | stable | similar | 18 | 11.6 (9.3, 14.4) | 1.0 | -0.9 (-2.6, 0.9) |
| Northampton County | 6 | stable | similar | 4 | 9.4 (5.5, 16.3) | 0.8 | -0.6 (-5.0, 4.0) |
| Person County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 14.1 (10.2, 19.3) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-3.8, 3.0) |
| Wilkes County | 6 | stable | similar | 13 | 12.2 (9.4, 15.8) | 1.1 | -0.5 (-2.8, 1.8) |
| Rockingham County | 6 | stable | similar | 18 | 12.9 (10.3, 16.0) | 1.1 | -0.3 (-2.2, 1.6) |
| Union County | 6 | stable | similar | 27 | 10.5 (8.7, 12.4) | 0.9 | -0.3 (-2.1, 1.9) |
| Randolph County | 6 | stable | similar | 22 | 11.0 (9.0, 13.3) | 1.0 | -0.3 (-1.8, 1.5) |
| Gaston County | 6 | stable | similar | 29 | 10.0 (8.4, 11.8) | 0.9 | -0.3 (-1.8, 1.3) |
| Jackson County | 7 | stable | lower | 5 | 7.7 (4.8, 11.9) | 0.7 | -0.2 (-3.5, 3.5) |
| Cabarrus County | 6 | stable | similar | 26 | 11.0 (9.2, 13.2) | 1.0 | -0.2 (-1.9, 1.9) |
| Mecklenburg County | 6 | stable | similar | 112 | 10.8 (9.9, 11.7) | 1.0 | -0.2 (-0.9, 0.6) |
| Scotland County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 12.9 (8.6, 18.8) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-2.9, 3.0) |
| Wilson County | 6 | stable | similar | 14 | 12.4 (9.6, 15.9) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-2.4, 2.5) |
| Haywood County | 6 | stable | similar | 14 | 11.8 (9.1, 15.3) | 1.0 | -0.1 (-2.3, 2.3) |
| Alexander County |
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** | similar | 8 | 15.8 (11.3, 21.8) | 1.4 |
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| Anson County |
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** | similar | 4 | 11.5 (6.7, 18.7) | 1.0 |
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| Ashe County |
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** | similar | 6 | 11.0 (7.3, 16.6) | 1.0 |
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| Caswell County |
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** | similar | 5 | 15.3 (9.8, 23.2) | 1.4 |
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| Chowan County |
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** | similar | 3 | 13.6 (7.6, 23.5) | 1.2 |
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| Currituck County |
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** | similar | 3 | 8.0 (4.5, 13.4) | 0.7 |
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| Montgomery County |
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** | similar | 7 | 16.5 (11.5, 23.5) | 1.5 |
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| Swain County |
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** | similar | 4 | 17.8 (10.6, 28.7) | 1.6 |
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| Warren County |
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** | similar | 6 | 15.1 (10.1, 22.7) | 1.3 |
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| Yancey County |
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** | similar | 6 | 15.6 (10.3, 23.5) | 1.4 |
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| Alleghany County |
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** |
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| Avery County |
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** |
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| Camden County |
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** |
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| Clay County |
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** |
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| Gates County |
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** |
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| Graham County |
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** |
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| Greene County |
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** |
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| Hyde County |
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** |
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| Jones County |
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** |
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| Madison County |
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** |
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| Mitchell County |
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** |
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| Pamlico County |
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** |
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| Perquimans County |
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** |
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| Tyrrell County |
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** |
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| Washington County |
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** |
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Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/16/2026 2:18 am.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County, Avery County, Camden County, Clay County, Gates County, Graham County, Greene County, Hyde County, Jones County, Madison County, Mitchell County, Pamlico County, Perquimans County, Tyrrell County, Washington County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Alexander County, Anson County, Ashe County, Caswell County, Chowan County, Currituck County, Montgomery County, Swain County, Warren County, Yancey County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/16/2026 2:18 am.
Trend2
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above
when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below
when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison
Above
when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.Below
when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County, Avery County, Camden County, Clay County, Gates County, Graham County, Greene County, Hyde County, Jones County, Madison County, Mitchell County, Pamlico County, Perquimans County, Tyrrell County, Washington County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Alexander County, Anson County, Ashe County, Caswell County, Chowan County, Currituck County, Montgomery County, Swain County, Warren County, Yancey County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.


