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Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Table

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Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Virginia Counties versus United States

Pancreas

All Races, Both Sexes
  Above US Rate Similar to US Rate Below US Rate
Rising
Trend		 Priority 1: rising and above

Halifax County with South Boston City
Henrico County
Lee County
Roanoke City		 Priority 2: rising and similar

Prince Edward County
Smyth County		 Priority 3: rising and below

Stable
Trend		 Priority 4: stable and above

Chesapeake City
Danville City
Norfolk City
Portsmouth City		 Priority 6: stable and similar

Accomack County
Albemarle County
Alexandria City
Amherst County
Arlington County
Augusta County
Bedford City and County
Buchanan County
Campbell County
Caroline County
Chesterfield County
Dinwiddie County
Fauquier County
Franklin County
Frederick County
Hampton City
Hanover County
Henry County
Hopewell City
James City County
Loudoun County
Louisa County
Lynchburg City
Manassas City
Mecklenburg County
Newport News City
Orange County
Petersburg City
Pittsylvania County
Powhatan County
Pulaski County
Roanoke County
Rockingham County
Russell County
Scott County
Shenandoah County
Spotsylvania County
Stafford County
Staunton City
Tazewell County
Washington County
Westmoreland County
Wise County
Wythe County
York County		 Priority 7: stable and below

Fairfax County
Prince William County
Virginia Beach City
Falling
Trend		 Priority 5: falling and above

Priority 8: falling and similar

Richmond City
Salem City
Suffolk City		 Priority 9: falling and below

Botetourt County
Carroll County
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/12/2026 2:24 am.

Trend2
     Rising    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above    when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar    when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below    when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Appomattox County, Bath County, Bland County, Bristol City, Brunswick County, Buena Vista City, Charles City County, Charlotte County, Clarke County, Colonial Heights City, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Emporia City, Essex County, Falls Church City, Floyd County, Franklin City, Fredericksburg City, Galax City, Giles County, Greensville County, Highland County, King and Queen County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Madison County, Manassas Park City, Mathews County, Middlesex County, Nelson County, Northumberland County, Norton City, Nottoway County, Poquoson City, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Surry County, Sussex County, Williamsburg City

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City, Amelia County, Buckingham County, Charlottesville City, Culpeper County, Dickenson County, Fairfax City, Fluvanna County, Gloucester County, Goochland County, Grayson County, Greene County, Harrisonburg City, Isle of Wight County, King George County, King William County, Lancaster County, Martinsville City, Montgomery County, New Kent County, Northampton County, Page County, Patrick County, Prince George County, Rockbridge County, Southampton County, Warren County, Waynesboro City, Winchester City

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.

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