State Cancer Profiles > Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Pennsylvania Counties versus United States

Lung & Bronchus

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by trend

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index ¹ - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program

Other Notes

Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.

Line by Line Interpretation of the Report

United States

Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -4.6.
Rate : The death rate is 35.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.9 to 35.0 and 142,497 average annual deaths.

Pennsylvania

Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.7 to -4.1.
Rate : The death rate is 37.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.8 to 37.6 and 6,746 average annual deaths.

Carbon County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -10.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -21.6 to 1.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 37.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.0 to 43.1 and 38 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Franklin County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -10.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -19.4 to -1.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 37.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.6 to 40.8 and 86 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Dauphin County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -10.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -17.4 to -2.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.1 to 36.5 and 125 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Monroe County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -9.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -13.6 to -5.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.0 to 40.3 and 83 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Bradford County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.8 to -3.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.8 to 39.7 and 33 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Centre County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -11.4 to -3.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 22.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.2 to 25.6 and 40 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6

Butler County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.4 to -1.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.0 to 39.5 and 100 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Philadelphia County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.0 to -4.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 42.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.6 to 43.4 and 726 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Bucks County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.9 to -2.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.6 to 35.1 and 307 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Allegheny County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.0 to -3.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 38.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 36.9 to 39.5 and 680 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Delaware County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to -3.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 37.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.6 to 39.7 and 277 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Northampton County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.9 to -2.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.0 to 35.9 and 150 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Lebanon County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.1 to -1.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 39.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.9 to 43.8 and 82 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Montgomery County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.5 to -2.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 30.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.3 to 32.3 and 355 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Columbia County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.6 to -1.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 35.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.6 to 41.8 and 35 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Chester County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -3.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 29.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.9 to 31.7 and 199 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Mercer County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.3 to -2.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 37.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.7 to 42.1 and 69 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Westmoreland County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -2.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 38.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.9 to 40.4 and 231 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Venango County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.7 to -2.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 41.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.3 to 48.1 and 36 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Lancaster County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -2.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 30.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.9 to 32.5 and 231 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Lehigh County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to -2.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 32.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.0 to 34.7 and 154 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Montour County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.8 to 3.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 42.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.0 to 55.1 and 12 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Erie County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 44.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 41.3 to 47.5 and 167 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

York County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.2 to 42.8 and 250 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Berks County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.6 to 39.2 and 206 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Cumberland County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 31.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.4 to 34.7 and 115 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Elk County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -1.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.2 to 42.2 and 18 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Indiana County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 27.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.2 to 31.7 and 35 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8

Adams County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.4 to 37.9 and 53 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Crawford County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 43.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.3 to 48.7 and 57 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Luzerne County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.0 to 43.2 and 195 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

McKean County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.4 to 48.3 and 25 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Cambria County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.3 to 40.8 and 82 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Armstrong County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.5 to 46.7 and 45 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Pike County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 41.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 35.3 to 47.7 and 38 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Beaver County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to -0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.4 to 44.5 and 110 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Clinton County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 33.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.9 to 41.5 and 18 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Huntingdon County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.9 to 44.1 and 27 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Snyder County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 30.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.3 to 37.3 and 18 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Blair County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.6.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 41.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.1 to 45.7 and 78 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Schuylkill County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.5.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 46.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.2 to 50.5 and 101 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Susquehanna County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.0 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.2 to 43.5 and 26 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Washington County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.7.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 45.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.2 to 48.9 and 148 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Forest County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 0.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 44.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.3 to 82.5 and 5 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Wayne County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 38.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.8 to 44.9 and 35 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Wyoming County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 36.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.5 to 45.6 and 16 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Bedford County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 31.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.5 to 38.0 and 26 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Clearfield County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 42.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 37.5 to 48.2 and 53 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Warren County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 46.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.0 to 54.3 and 31 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Fayette County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 47.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.5 to 52.3 and 99 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4

Lawrence County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to -0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 43.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.6 to 48.7 and 63 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Somerset County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to -0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 31.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.3 to 36.8 and 39 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Sullivan County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 0.9.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 45.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.7 to 72.3 and 5 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Greene County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 48.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.4 to 58.1 and 26 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4

Juniata County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.2.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 34.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.4 to 44.1 and 13 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0

Union County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to 0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 32.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.2 to 39.9 and 19 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9

Jefferson County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 38.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 32.5 to 46.4 and 27 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Lackawanna County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.9 to -0.1.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 43.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 40.2 to 47.0 and 137 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Mifflin County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.5 to 47.9 and 31 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Perry County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to 0.3.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 50.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 43.2 to 59.7 and 33 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.5

Potter County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 38.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.7 to 50.8 and 11 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1

Tioga County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 40.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.2 to 48.5 and 28 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2

Fulton County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 50.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.7 to 66.3 and 12 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.5

Lycoming County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.8 to 0.0.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 46.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 41.7 to 51.3 and 78 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Clarion County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.3 to 0.8.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 46.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.6 to 55.1 and 27 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Northumberland County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 4.
Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.4.
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
Rate : The death rate is 46.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 41.4 to 51.8 and 68 average annual deaths.
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3

Cameron County

Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
Recent Trend(2) : **
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
Rate : *
Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/28/2024 8:21 am.

Trend²
Rising

when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable

when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling

when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above

when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio³ > 1.10
Similar

when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below

when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio³ < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
¹ Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
² Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
³ Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Cameron County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

State Cancer Profiles