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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

North Carolina Counties versus United States

Lung & Bronchus

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by count

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


North Carolina


Wake County


Mecklenburg County


Guilford County


Forsyth County


Cumberland County


Gaston County


Buncombe County


Davidson County


Brunswick County


Johnston County


New Hanover County


Alamance County


Randolph County


Durham County


Iredell County


Onslow County


Rowan County


Cabarrus County


Catawba County


Union County


Robeson County


Wayne County


Rockingham County


Henderson County


Pitt County


Craven County


Harnett County


Burke County


Caldwell County


Cleveland County


Moore County


Carteret County


Surry County


Nash County


Lincoln County


Wilkes County


Rutherford County


Wilson County


Haywood County


Sampson County


Orange County


Stanly County


Franklin County


Columbus County


Lenoir County


Pender County


Richmond County


Halifax County


Edgecombe County


Chatham County


McDowell County


Stokes County


Granville County


Beaufort County


Duplin County


Davie County


Lee County


Vance County


Yadkin County


Macon County


Person County


Cherokee County


Scotland County


Alexander County


Bladen County


Dare County


Transylvania County


Pasquotank County


Hoke County


Ashe County


Caswell County


Jackson County


Martin County


Currituck County


Watauga County


Northampton County


Hertford County


Anson County


Montgomery County


Yancey County


Madison County


Warren County


Bertie County


Perquimans County


Polk County


Mitchell County


Greene County


Pamlico County


Chowan County


Swain County


Washington County


Alleghany County


Clay County


Avery County


Gates County


Graham County


Jones County


Camden County


Tyrrell County


Hyde County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/16/2026 2:34 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Hyde County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.