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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Illinois Counties versus United States

Lung & Bronchus

All Races, Both Sexes

Sorted by trend

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Illinois


Mercer County


Logan County


McHenry County


Pulaski County


Mason County


Clay County


Ford County


Jersey County


Pike County


Richland County


Fayette County


Fulton County


Greene County


Jackson County


Schuyler County


Douglas County


Vermilion County


Woodford County


Iroquois County


Marion County


Randolph County


Jefferson County


Hardin County


Lawrence County


Montgomery County


Alexander County


DeKalb County


Grundy County


Putnam County


De Witt County


Hamilton County


Massac County


Menard County


Shelby County


Williamson County


Henry County


Macoupin County


Washington County


La Salle County


McDonough County


Monroe County


Union County


Clark County


Cumberland County


Ogle County


Warren County


Knox County


Marshall County


Morgan County


Edwards County


Hancock County


Madison County


Perry County


Adams County


Effingham County


Clinton County


Jasper County


Lee County


Moultrie County


Whiteside County


Bureau County


Carroll County


Henderson County


Macon County


Piatt County


Stephenson County


White County


Edgar County


Johnson County


Wayne County


Christian County


Coles County


Jo Daviess County


Saline County


McLean County


Wabash County


Bond County


Kendall County


Livingston County


Lake County


Sangamon County


Stark County


Peoria County


Champaign County


Rock Island County


Winnebago County


Boone County


DuPage County


Tazewell County


Kane County


Will County


Cook County


St. Clair County


Franklin County


Kankakee County


Gallatin County


Crawford County


Cass County


Scott County Brown County Calhoun County Pope County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/17/2026 7:42 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Brown County, Calhoun County, Pope County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Scott County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.