Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Colorado Counties versus United States
Lung & Bronchus
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by priorityindex
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -4.6.
- Rate : The death rate is 35.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.9 to 35.0 and 142,497 average annual deaths.
Colorado
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to -4.0.
- Rate : The death rate is 24.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.6 to 24.8 and 1,489 average annual deaths.
Huerfano County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to 0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 22.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 12.0 to 42.9 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Las Animas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.1 to 43.6 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Logan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 32.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.2 to 43.8 and 10 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Morgan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to 0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.2 to 41.4 and 12 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Prowers County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to 0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 48.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.8 to 67.4 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Alamosa County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is 0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.4 to 2.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 23.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 14.2 to 36.7 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Broomfield County (8)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 7.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.3 to 0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 23.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.3 to 28.7 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Delta County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 29.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.3 to 37.0 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Fremont County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.8 to 37.7 and 24 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Montezuma County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 30.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.2 to 39.6 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Montrose County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.7 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.8 to 38.4 and 23 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Adams County (8)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to -2.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 30.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.9 to 32.8 and 127 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Arapahoe County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to -2.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 25.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.2 to 26.8 and 162 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Boulder County (8)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -3.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 18.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.9 to 21.1 and 67 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.5
Chaffee County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 21.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.0 to 30.6 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Denver County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.7 to -4.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 24.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.6 to 26.1 and 159 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Douglas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.1 to -3.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 19.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.1 to 21.7 and 59 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Eagle County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.9 to -2.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 9.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.6 to 15.3 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.3
El Paso County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -2.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 26.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 24.4 to 27.9 and 184 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Elbert County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 24.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.8 to 35.6 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Garfield County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.0 to -1.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 23.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 17.8 to 29.7 and 13 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Jefferson County (8)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -2.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 23.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.8 to 25.1 and 168 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
La Plata County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.1 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 17.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.3 to 22.9 and 12 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.5
Larimer County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -3.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 20.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.6 to 22.6 and 85 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Mesa County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -5.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -7.8 to -3.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 28.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.0 to 31.5 and 61 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Otero County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.7 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 25.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.3 to 36.0 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Park County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.4 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 13.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 7.8 to 23.4 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.4
Pueblo County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 29.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.9 to 32.3 and 69 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Routt County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.6 to -3.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 12.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 7.4 to 21.0 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.4
Teller County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 23.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 16.2 to 33.5 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Weld County (8)
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.3 to -2.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 26.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.8 to 29.3 and 78 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 15.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 8.6 to 27.3 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.4
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.1 to 46.6 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 21.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 13.0 to 35.5 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
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- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/27/2023 3:30 pm.
Rising

Stable

Falling

Rate Comparison
Above

Similar

Below

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
8 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected geographic areas.
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Baca County, Bent County, Cheyenne County, Clear Creek County, Conejos County, Costilla County, Crowley County, Custer County, Dolores County, Gilpin County, Grand County, Gunnison County, Hinsdale County, Jackson County, Kiowa County, Kit Carson County, Lake County, Lincoln County, Mineral County, Ouray County, Phillips County, Pitkin County, Rio Blanco County, Saguache County, San Juan County, San Miguel County, Sedgwick County, Summit County, Washington County, Yuma County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Archuleta County, Moffat County, Rio Grande County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.