Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer
Counties
|
Priority Index1 1=highest 9=lowest 
|
Recent Trend2 |
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate |
Average Annual Count
|
Age-Adjusted Death Rate deaths per 100,000 (95% Confidence Interval)
|
Rate Ratio3 County to US
|
Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates (95% Confidence Interval)
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | - |
falling 
|
- | 142,497 | 35.0 (34.9, 35.0) | - | -4.8 (-5.1, -4.6) |
| Tennessee | - |
falling
|
- | 4,060 | 47.0 (46.3, 47.6) | - | -4.4 (-5.2, -3.5) |
| Shelby County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 405 | 39.6 (37.9, 41.5) | 1.1 | -5.2 (-7.1, -3.3) |
| Davidson County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 263 | 38.2 (36.1, 40.4) | 1.1 | -7.6 (-10.3, -4.7) |
| Knox County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 238 | 41.4 (39.0, 43.8) | 1.2 | -3.9 (-4.8, -3.0) |
| Hamilton County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 181 | 37.4 (35.0, 40.0) | 1.1 | -6.7 (-9.7, -3.6) |
| Sullivan County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 126 | 49.2 (45.3, 53.3) | 1.4 | -2.7 (-3.9, -1.5) |
| Rutherford County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 120 | 43.0 (39.5, 46.8) | 1.2 | -2.2 (-2.8, -1.7) |
| Sumner County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 103 | 44.4 (40.6, 48.5) | 1.3 | -2.7 (-3.6, -1.7) |
| Blount County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 91 | 45.0 (40.9, 49.5) | 1.3 | -1.9 (-2.8, -1.0) |
| Washington County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 85 | 47.0 (42.6, 51.8) | 1.3 | -1.0 (-1.5, -0.5) |
| Montgomery County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 80 | 49.2 (44.3, 54.4) | 1.4 | -2.5 (-3.2, -1.9) |
| Sevier County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 75 | 51.9 (46.6, 57.7) | 1.5 | -0.8 (-1.3, -0.2) |
| Wilson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 72 | 42.1 (37.8, 46.8) | 1.2 | -1.6 (-2.3, -0.9) |
| Greene County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 67 | 60.2 (53.8, 67.3) | 1.7 | -3.3 (-5.0, -1.6) |
| Bradley County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 64 | 45.0 (40.2, 50.4) | 1.3 | -1.5 (-2.0, -1.0) |
| Maury County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 58 | 48.6 (43.0, 54.8) | 1.4 | -12.3 (-22.6, -0.7) |
| Madison County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 57 | 43.9 (38.8, 49.5) | 1.3 | -1.4 (-2.0, -0.7) |
| Williamson County | 9 |
falling
|
lower | 54 | 22.5 (19.8, 25.5) | 0.6 | -6.4 (-8.0, -4.9) |
| Hawkins County | 4 |
stable 
|
higher | 53 | 58.6 (51.6, 66.4) | 1.7 | -0.2 (-0.9, 0.6) |
| Anderson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 52 | 45.2 (39.7, 51.3) | 1.3 | -4.6 (-6.8, -2.4) |
| Cumberland County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 52 | 41.8 (36.5, 48.0) | 1.2 | -1.2 (-1.9, -0.4) |
| Putnam County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 52 | 52.3 (46.1, 59.3) | 1.5 | -0.8 (-1.6, 0.0) |
| McMinn County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 47 | 57.6 (50.4, 65.8) | 1.6 | -0.7 (-1.4, 0.1) |
| Campbell County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 46 | 75.2 (65.7, 85.9) | 2.2 | -0.7 (-1.4, 0.0) |
| Monroe County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 46 | 63.6 (55.4, 72.8) | 1.8 | -0.4 (-1.1, 0.3) |
| Robertson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 46 | 53.8 (46.9, 61.5) | 1.5 | -3.1 (-5.0, -1.2) |
| Roane County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 46 | 49.1 (42.8, 56.2) | 1.4 | -5.3 (-8.0, -2.5) |
| Hamblen County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 44 | 48.9 (42.6, 56.0) | 1.4 | -1.6 (-2.4, -0.8) |
| Jefferson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 44 | 53.9 (46.9, 61.9) | 1.5 | -0.9 (-1.6, -0.3) |
| Loudon County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 44 | 43.9 (38.0, 50.5) | 1.3 | -1.8 (-2.5, -1.0) |
| Tipton County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 43 | 60.8 (52.8, 69.8) | 1.7 | -1.2 (-2.1, -0.3) |
| Gibson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 41 | 60.6 (52.5, 69.6) | 1.7 | -0.7 (-1.5, 0.1) |
| Dickson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 41 | 61.0 (52.8, 70.2) | 1.7 | -1.0 (-1.5, -0.5) |
| Carter County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 39 | 43.8 (37.8, 50.7) | 1.3 | -1.4 (-2.2, -0.6) |
| Coffee County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 38 | 52.0 (44.8, 60.2) | 1.5 | -1.0 (-1.7, -0.3) |
| Lawrence County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 36 | 60.4 (51.8, 70.1) | 1.7 | -1.1 (-1.7, -0.5) |
| Bedford County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 33 | 57.4 (48.9, 67.1) | 1.6 | -1.1 (-1.9, -0.3) |
| Dyer County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 33 | 65.3 (55.6, 76.4) | 1.9 | -0.1 (-1.0, 0.7) |
| Cocke County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 33 | 56.6 (48.0, 66.6) | 1.6 | -10.9 (-19.8, -1.0) |
| Rhea County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 33 | 70.7 (60.1, 82.8) | 2.0 | -0.5 (-1.3, 0.2) |
| Warren County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 31 | 54.0 (45.8, 63.5) | 1.5 | -0.6 (-1.6, 0.5) |
| Claiborne County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 31 | 65.0 (54.8, 76.7) | 1.9 | -0.6 (-1.5, 0.3) |
| Henry County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 30 | 54.5 (46.1, 64.4) | 1.6 | -0.9 (-1.8, -0.1) |
| Carroll County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 30 | 68.9 (58.1, 81.3) | 2.0 | -0.1 (-1.0, 0.8) |
| Cheatham County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 27 | 54.6 (45.4, 65.3) | 1.6 | -1.4 (-2.5, -0.3) |
| Franklin County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 27 | 43.3 (36.1, 51.7) | 1.2 | -1.0 (-1.8, -0.1) |
| Obion County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 26 | 54.8 (45.6, 65.7) | 1.6 | -3.9 (-7.1, -0.7) |
| Grainger County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 25 | 67.5 (55.9, 81.3) | 1.9 | -1.8 (-3.4, -0.2) |
| Hardin County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 25 | 56.5 (46.7, 68.1) | 1.6 | -0.3 (-1.4, 0.8) |
| McNairy County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 25 | 60.1 (49.8, 72.3) | 1.7 | -0.1 (-1.1, 0.8) |
| Lauderdale County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 75.0 (62.0, 90.0) | 2.1 | -0.3 (-1.2, 0.7) |
| Weakley County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 52.6 (43.5, 63.2) | 1.5 | -0.7 (-1.7, 0.2) |
| Fayette County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 24 | 34.7 (28.6, 41.9) | 1.0 | -1.9 (-3.0, -0.7) |
| Lincoln County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 24 | 46.3 (38.2, 55.8) | 1.3 | -2.1 (-3.1, -1.1) |
| Marshall County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 55.2 (45.5, 66.6) | 1.6 | 4.9 (-8.3, 19.9) |
| White County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 23 | 57.1 (47.0, 68.9) | 1.6 | -0.7 (-1.7, 0.2) |
| Marion County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 23 | 52.7 (43.4, 63.7) | 1.5 | -1.0 (-2.0, 0.1) |
| Overton County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 23 | 66.5 (54.8, 80.3) | 1.9 | -0.5 (-1.5, 0.4) |
| Scott County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 23 | 76.5 (63.0, 92.4) | 2.2 | -0.7 (-1.6, 0.1) |
| Henderson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 23 | 57.0 (46.8, 68.9) | 1.6 | -2.9 (-4.4, -1.3) |
| Hardeman County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 22 | 64.4 (52.7, 78.1) | 1.8 | -0.2 (-1.2, 0.8) |
| Hickman County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 22 | 60.8 (49.7, 73.9) | 1.7 | -0.5 (-1.5, 0.6) |
| Macon County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 21 | 68.8 (56.1, 83.6) | 2.0 | -0.3 (-1.1, 0.4) |
| Giles County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 21 | 46.0 (37.4, 56.3) | 1.3 | -1.5 (-2.4, -0.6) |
| Fentress County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 20 | 68.9 (55.6, 85.0) | 2.0 | -0.8 (-1.8, 0.2) |
| Benton County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 20 | 73.3 (59.1, 90.7) | 2.1 | 0.3 (-0.8, 1.5) |
| DeKalb County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 18 | 60.4 (48.2, 75.1) | 1.7 | -0.2 (-1.3, 1.0) |
| Johnson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 17 | 58.8 (46.8, 73.5) | 1.7 | 0.2 (-1.1, 1.4) |
| Union County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 17 | 62.1 (49.1, 77.7) | 1.8 | -0.8 (-1.8, 0.2) |
| Morgan County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 16 | 55.9 (44.3, 70.1) | 1.6 | -1.9 (-2.6, -1.2) |
| Polk County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 62.2 (49.3, 78.2) | 1.8 | -0.9 (-2.1, 0.3) |
| Unicoi County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 52.8 (41.6, 66.6) | 1.5 | 0.0 (-1.1, 1.1) |
| Humphreys County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 53.6 (42.3, 67.5) | 1.5 | -0.9 (-2.0, 0.2) |
| Jackson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 15 | 70.4 (54.9, 90.0) | 2.0 | -0.4 (-1.8, 0.9) |
| Smith County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 15 | 57.7 (44.9, 73.2) | 1.6 | 0.0 (-1.2, 1.3) |
| Wayne County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 13 | 54.6 (42.2, 70.2) | 1.6 | -0.3 (-1.5, 0.8) |
| Decatur County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 13 | 65.1 (49.6, 85.0) | 1.9 | 0.0 (-1.2, 1.2) |
| Chester County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 12 | 54.6 (41.7, 70.5) | 1.6 | -0.5 (-1.8, 0.8) |
| Haywood County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 12 | 48.0 (36.5, 62.5) | 1.4 | -1.4 (-2.5, -0.4) |
| Crockett County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 12 | 60.2 (45.9, 78.0) | 1.7 | -0.5 (-1.7, 0.7) |
| Grundy County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 12 | 58.2 (44.1, 76.0) | 1.7 | -0.2 (-1.8, 1.5) |
| Stewart County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 12 | 57.5 (43.6, 75.2) | 1.6 | -1.3 (-2.9, 0.3) |
| Lewis County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 12 | 62.5 (47.0, 82.2) | 1.8 | -0.7 (-1.9, 0.5) |
| Bledsoe County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 11 | 52.5 (39.4, 69.2) | 1.5 | -1.7 (-2.7, -0.6) |
| Meigs County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 11 | 62.2 (46.3, 82.5) | 1.8 | 0.2 (-1.2, 1.6) |
| Cannon County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 11 | 52.8 (39.3, 69.9) | 1.5 | -1.2 (-2.5, 0.1) |
| Sequatchie County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 11 | 44.9 (33.3, 59.8) | 1.3 | -8.4 (-15.7, -0.5) |
| Houston County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 9 | 73.2 (53.5, 99.0) | 2.1 | 0.6 (-0.6, 1.9) |
| Perry County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 8 | 69.0 (49.0, 95.4) | 2.0 | -0.8 (-2.1, 0.5) |
| Clay County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 7 | 52.0 (36.5, 74.0) | 1.5 | -2.0 (-3.2, -0.9) |
| Trousdale County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 7 | 60.2 (41.6, 84.6) | 1.7 | -1.6 (-3.2, -0.1) |
| Pickett County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 7 | 65.8 (44.8, 97.2) | 1.9 | 0.3 (-1.6, 2.2) |
| Hancock County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 7 | 64.9 (43.6, 94.5) | 1.9 | -0.8 (-2.1, 0.6) |
| Lake County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 5 | 57.5 (37.6, 85.4) | 1.6 | -4.7 (-7.3, -1.9) |
| Van Buren County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 5 | 54.7 (35.2, 83.3) | 1.6 | 0.2 (-2.1, 2.5) |
| Moore County |
|
** | similar | 4 | 40.0 (24.2, 64.3) | 1.1 |
|
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/03/2024 11:14 pm.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Moore County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/03/2024 11:14 pm.
Trend2
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison
Above
when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.Below
when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Moore County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.