Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer
Counties |
Priority Index1 1=highest 9=lowest |
Recent Trend2 |
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate |
Average Annual Count |
Age-Adjusted Death Rate deaths per 100,000 (95% Confidence Interval) |
Rate Ratio3 County to US |
Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates (95% Confidence Interval) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United States | - | falling | - | 142,497 | 35.0 (34.9, 35.0) | - | -4.8 (-5.1, -4.6) |
Virginia | - | falling | - | 3,646 | 35.3 (34.8, 35.9) | - | -4.2 (-4.6, -3.8) |
Falls Church City | 8 | falling | similar | 4 | 26.9 (16.1, 42.2) | 0.8 | -4.2 (-5.7, -2.8) |
Rappahannock County | 6 | stable | similar | 4 | 26.8 (16.1, 45.2) | 0.8 | -1.6 (-3.5, 0.3) |
Surry County | 8 | falling | similar | 4 | 34.4 (20.1, 57.4) | 1.0 | -2.3 (-4.2, -0.4) |
Bath County | 6 | stable | similar | 5 | 56.1 (35.0, 90.3) | 1.6 | -0.8 (-2.7, 1.2) |
Charles City County | 8 | falling | similar | 5 | 39.1 (25.1, 61.1) | 1.1 | -3.8 (-5.4, -2.2) |
Lexington City | 4 | stable | higher | 5 | 61.9 (39.0, 96.1) | 1.8 | -1.2 (-3.3, 0.9) |
Radford City | 8 | falling | similar | 5 | 35.2 (22.4, 52.7) | 1.0 | -2.1 (-3.8, -0.3) |
Cumberland County | 8 | falling | similar | 6 | 33.5 (22.2, 50.0) | 1.0 | -2.6 (-4.4, -0.8) |
Greensville County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 40.8 (26.7, 60.3) | 1.2 | -0.9 (-2.5, 0.8) |
Covington City | 4 | stable | higher | 6 | 67.6 (45.1, 99.3) | 1.9 | 0.3 (-1.1, 1.6) |
Franklin City | 8 | falling | similar | 6 | 48.8 (32.6, 71.6) | 1.4 | -1.9 (-3.6, -0.1) |
King and Queen County | 6 | stable | similar | 6 | 50.5 (33.4, 75.2) | 1.4 | 0.1 (-1.7, 2.1) |
Poquoson City | 8 | falling | similar | 7 | 39.5 (27.2, 56.2) | 1.1 | -2.5 (-3.9, -1.0) |
Clarke County | 8 | falling | similar | 7 | 31.3 (21.8, 44.5) | 0.9 | -2.3 (-3.6, -1.0) |
Richmond County | 8 | falling | similar | 7 | 50.9 (35.7, 71.8) | 1.5 | -1.8 (-3.3, -0.4) |
Essex County | 8 | falling | similar | 8 | 42.0 (29.5, 59.3) | 1.2 | -1.7 (-3.0, -0.4) |
Mathews County | 8 | falling | similar | 8 | 42.9 (29.7, 62.4) | 1.2 | -1.9 (-3.3, -0.4) |
Fredericksburg City | 8 | falling | similar | 9 | 34.8 (25.2, 46.8) | 1.0 | -2.6 (-3.9, -1.3) |
King William County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 40.0 (28.9, 54.3) | 1.1 | -1.6 (-3.3, 0.1) |
Madison County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 41.2 (29.9, 56.2) | 1.2 | -0.2 (-1.6, 1.1) |
Floyd County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 34.1 (24.8, 46.5) | 1.0 | -1.1 (-2.3, 0.1) |
Galax City | 4 | stable | higher | 9 | 102.3 (74.4, 138.4) | 2.9 | -32.0 (-58.9, 12.6) |
Lunenburg County | 6 | stable | similar | 9 | 46.7 (34.0, 63.7) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-2.1, 1.0) |
Appomattox County | 6 | stable | similar | 10 | 41.2 (30.2, 55.4) | 1.2 | -0.4 (-1.9, 1.1) |
Greene County | 8 | falling | similar | 10 | 38.1 (28.1, 50.8) | 1.1 | -2.2 (-3.9, -0.5) |
Nottoway County | 8 | falling | similar | 10 | 45.4 (33.6, 60.6) | 1.3 | -2.9 (-5.0, -0.8) |
Amelia County | 4 | stable | higher | 11 | 51.0 (38.1, 67.9) | 1.5 | -0.6 (-2.3, 1.1) |
Buckingham County | 8 | falling | similar | 11 | 41.3 (30.8, 54.8) | 1.2 | -1.4 (-2.5, -0.3) |
Fairfax City | 8 | falling | similar | 11 | 39.6 (29.5, 52.1) | 1.1 | -2.6 (-3.7, -1.4) |
King George County | 8 | falling | similar | 11 | 40.5 (30.3, 53.0) | 1.2 | -2.4 (-3.9, -0.9) |
Northampton County | 5 | falling | higher | 11 | 51.5 (37.9, 69.6) | 1.5 | -1.6 (-2.5, -0.6) |
Northumberland County | 8 | falling | similar | 11 | 34.6 (26.0, 47.8) | 1.0 | -2.5 (-4.0, -1.0) |
Brunswick County | 8 | falling | similar | 11 | 42.3 (31.9, 55.7) | 1.2 | -2.0 (-3.0, -1.0) |
Middlesex County | 5 | falling | higher | 11 | 48.7 (36.2, 66.1) | 1.4 | -1.6 (-3.1, -0.1) |
Southampton County | 8 | falling | similar | 11 | 40.8 (30.8, 53.7) | 1.2 | -2.1 (-3.0, -1.2) |
Rockbridge County | 9 | falling | lower | 12 | 26.1 (19.5, 34.7) | 0.7 | -2.8 (-4.1, -1.4) |
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 44.8 (33.7, 59.4) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-1.6, 0.5) |
Sussex County | 4 | stable | higher | 12 | 78.6 (59.5, 102.7) | 2.2 | -0.9 (-2.1, 0.4) |
Bristol City | 8 | falling | similar | 12 | 45.7 (34.6, 59.6) | 1.3 | -13.6 (-23.3, -2.7) |
Nelson County | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 41.8 (31.5, 55.4) | 1.2 | -0.8 (-2.0, 0.5) |
Grayson County | 6 | stable | similar | 12 | 41.7 (31.8, 54.7) | 1.2 | -0.8 (-2.0, 0.4) |
Charlotte County | 5 | falling | higher | 13 | 61.3 (47.0, 79.6) | 1.8 | -1.3 (-2.6, 0.0) |
Fluvanna County | 8 | falling | similar | 13 | 31.9 (24.4, 41.3) | 0.9 | -2.1 (-3.3, -0.8) |
Goochland County | 8 | falling | similar | 13 | 32.1 (24.5, 41.9) | 0.9 | -3.1 (-4.2, -1.9) |
New Kent County | 5 | falling | higher | 13 | 48.1 (36.3, 62.6) | 1.4 | -1.7 (-3.0, -0.4) |
Manassas City | 8 | falling | similar | 13 | 42.7 (32.6, 54.8) | 1.2 | -1.9 (-3.2, -0.6) |
Harrisonburg City | 8 | falling | similar | 13 | 33.9 (26.0, 43.2) | 1.0 | -1.8 (-3.0, -0.5) |
Lancaster County | 5 | falling | higher | 13 | 50.0 (37.6, 67.5) | 1.4 | -1.7 (-2.8, -0.5) |
Charlottesville City | 8 | falling | similar | 14 | 32.5 (25.0, 41.4) | 0.9 | -1.9 (-3.0, -0.8) |
Dickenson County | 4 | stable | higher | 14 | 55.9 (43.2, 72.1) | 1.6 | -0.8 (-1.7, 0.1) |
Giles County | 5 | falling | higher | 14 | 50.0 (38.6, 64.3) | 1.4 | -1.1 (-2.0, -0.1) |
Colonial Heights City | 5 | falling | higher | 14 | 52.5 (40.7, 67.2) | 1.5 | -1.4 (-2.3, -0.6) |
Hopewell City | 5 | falling | higher | 14 | 49.9 (38.7, 63.5) | 1.4 | -5.1 (-7.9, -2.3) |
Martinsville City | 1 | rising | higher | 14 | 75.3 (58.4, 96.1) | 2.2 | 1.6 (0.3, 2.9) |
Powhatan County | 8 | falling | similar | 14 | 35.4 (27.5, 45.2) | 1.0 | -3.1 (-4.2, -2.0) |
Winchester City | 8 | falling | similar | 14 | 40.1 (31.3, 50.8) | 1.1 | -2.4 (-3.6, -1.2) |
Prince Edward County | 4 | stable | higher | 16 | 56.7 (44.7, 71.3) | 1.6 | -1.0 (-2.2, 0.1) |
Patrick County | 4 | stable | higher | 16 | 47.8 (37.8, 60.6) | 1.4 | -0.4 (-1.4, 0.6) |
Staunton City | 8 | falling | similar | 16 | 41.1 (32.6, 51.7) | 1.2 | -1.0 (-2.0, -0.1) |
Caroline County | 8 | falling | similar | 17 | 43.5 (34.5, 54.4) | 1.2 | -1.7 (-2.8, -0.5) |
Amherst County | 8 | falling | similar | 17 | 33.5 (26.7, 41.7) | 1.0 | -2.2 (-3.2, -1.2) |
Buchanan County | 5 | falling | higher | 17 | 49.4 (39.2, 61.9) | 1.4 | -1.2 (-2.2, -0.2) |
Waynesboro City | 4 | stable | higher | 17 | 56.0 (44.7, 69.5) | 1.6 | -0.5 (-1.3, 0.3) |
Isle of Wight County | 8 | falling | similar | 18 | 33.5 (26.9, 41.6) | 1.0 | -3.0 (-4.1, -1.9) |
Westmoreland County | 5 | falling | higher | 18 | 53.8 (43.1, 67.2) | 1.5 | -2.0 (-2.9, -1.1) |
Botetourt County | 8 | falling | similar | 19 | 33.9 (27.3, 42.0) | 1.0 | -2.1 (-3.1, -1.1) |
Salem City | 5 | falling | higher | 19 | 50.6 (40.8, 62.5) | 1.4 | -1.1 (-2.1, 0.0) |
Wythe County | 8 | falling | similar | 19 | 41.5 (33.5, 51.2) | 1.2 | -1.9 (-2.9, -1.0) |
Culpeper County | 8 | falling | similar | 20 | 31.6 (25.6, 38.7) | 0.9 | -6.6 (-10.9, -2.0) |
Prince George County | 5 | falling | higher | 20 | 46.7 (37.9, 57.1) | 1.3 | -2.1 (-3.0, -1.1) |
Russell County | 5 | falling | higher | 20 | 45.0 (36.5, 55.2) | 1.3 | -5.3 (-7.7, -2.8) |
Dinwiddie County | 5 | falling | higher | 20 | 51.2 (41.6, 62.7) | 1.5 | -1.4 (-2.3, -0.5) |
Page County | 4 | stable | higher | 20 | 51.5 (41.9, 63.0) | 1.5 | -0.3 (-1.3, 0.7) |
Lee County | 5 | falling | higher | 21 | 52.4 (42.7, 64.3) | 1.5 | -1.1 (-2.1, -0.1) |
Carroll County | 6 | stable | similar | 21 | 38.5 (31.5, 47.1) | 1.1 | -0.9 (-1.9, 0.2) |
Orange County | 8 | falling | similar | 21 | 37.5 (30.7, 45.7) | 1.1 | -1.8 (-2.7, -0.8) |
Louisa County | 8 | falling | similar | 22 | 38.2 (31.2, 46.5) | 1.1 | -2.0 (-3.0, -1.1) |
York County | 9 | falling | lower | 22 | 26.3 (21.6, 31.8) | 0.8 | -3.7 (-4.5, -2.8) |
Scott County | 4 | stable | higher | 23 | 58.1 (47.7, 70.6) | 1.7 | -0.7 (-1.5, 0.1) |
Pulaski County | 5 | falling | higher | 25 | 43.9 (36.5, 52.8) | 1.3 | -1.3 (-2.1, -0.4) |
Warren County | 5 | falling | higher | 25 | 49.0 (40.6, 58.6) | 1.4 | -1.3 (-2.2, -0.4) |
Petersburg City | 5 | falling | higher | 28 | 69.4 (58.0, 82.5) | 2.0 | -1.8 (-2.5, -1.1) |
Smyth County | 5 | falling | higher | 28 | 56.6 (47.4, 67.4) | 1.6 | -4.2 (-6.5, -1.9) |
Accomack County | 5 | falling | higher | 29 | 50.0 (42.0, 59.4) | 1.4 | -1.5 (-2.3, -0.7) |
Gloucester County | 5 | falling | higher | 29 | 52.4 (43.9, 62.1) | 1.5 | -1.6 (-2.4, -0.8) |
Mecklenburg County | 4 | stable | higher | 31 | 52.1 (44.1, 61.7) | 1.5 | -0.7 (-1.6, 0.1) |
Alexandria City | 9 | falling | lower | 31 | 22.5 (19.0, 26.5) | 0.6 | -3.4 (-4.0, -2.8) |
Shenandoah County | 5 | falling | higher | 31 | 43.9 (37.1, 51.7) | 1.3 | -2.4 (-3.8, -1.0) |
Danville City | 5 | falling | higher | 32 | 49.9 (42.3, 58.6) | 1.4 | -1.3 (-2.0, -0.5) |
Halifax County with South Boston City | 5 | falling | higher | 32 | 52.0 (44.0, 61.3) | 1.5 | -1.0 (-1.7, -0.3) |
Montgomery County | 8 | falling | similar | 32 | 33.1 (28.1, 38.8) | 0.9 | -1.6 (-2.6, -0.6) |
Arlington County | 9 | falling | lower | 32 | 16.1 (13.6, 18.8) | 0.5 | -6.0 (-8.0, -4.0) |
Campbell County | 8 | falling | similar | 33 | 38.8 (33.1, 45.5) | 1.1 | -1.7 (-2.6, -0.8) |
Wise County | 5 | falling | higher | 33 | 61.4 (52.2, 71.9) | 1.8 | -1.2 (-1.8, -0.6) |
Fauquier County | 8 | falling | similar | 34 | 36.1 (30.7, 42.2) | 1.0 | -2.8 (-3.5, -2.0) |
Rockingham County | 9 | falling | lower | 36 | 30.0 (25.7, 35.0) | 0.9 | -4.1 (-6.6, -1.6) |
Franklin County | 8 | falling | similar | 36 | 37.8 (32.4, 44.2) | 1.1 | -1.2 (-2.1, -0.4) |
Augusta County | 9 | falling | lower | 37 | 30.4 (26.1, 35.2) | 0.9 | -4.8 (-7.1, -2.4) |
Lynchburg City | 5 | falling | higher | 38 | 42.9 (36.8, 49.6) | 1.2 | -1.6 (-2.2, -1.0) |
Tazewell County | 5 | falling | higher | 38 | 55.3 (47.5, 64.2) | 1.6 | -1.0 (-1.7, -0.4) |
Albemarle County | 9 | falling | lower | 38 | 25.3 (21.8, 29.3) | 0.7 | -2.4 (-3.2, -1.6) |
Henry County | 4 | stable | higher | 39 | 44.0 (37.9, 51.0) | 1.3 | -0.1 (-0.9, 0.7) |
Suffolk City | 8 | falling | similar | 39 | 35.9 (31.0, 41.5) | 1.0 | -4.5 (-6.0, -2.9) |
James City County | 9 | falling | lower | 41 | 29.4 (25.4, 34.0) | 0.8 | -2.4 (-3.1, -1.6) |
Washington County | 5 | falling | higher | 42 | 47.1 (40.8, 54.4) | 1.3 | -1.6 (-2.2, -0.9) |
Pittsylvania County | 5 | falling | higher | 44 | 42.7 (37.1, 49.1) | 1.2 | -1.2 (-2.1, -0.4) |
Stafford County | 8 | falling | similar | 45 | 36.0 (31.3, 41.2) | 1.0 | -6.2 (-8.9, -3.6) |
Frederick County | 8 | falling | similar | 46 | 37.7 (32.9, 43.0) | 1.1 | -2.4 (-3.1, -1.6) |
Roanoke County | 8 | falling | similar | 49 | 31.5 (27.6, 35.8) | 0.9 | -1.4 (-2.1, -0.6) |
Bedford City and County | 8 | falling | similar | 51 | 38.4 (33.8, 43.7) | 1.1 | -1.5 (-2.2, -0.8) |
Hanover County | 8 | falling | similar | 53 | 36.4 (32.1, 41.2) | 1.0 | -2.5 (-3.2, -1.8) |
Spotsylvania County | 8 | falling | similar | 54 | 36.7 (32.3, 41.4) | 1.0 | -2.2 (-3.1, -1.4) |
Portsmouth City | 5 | falling | higher | 56 | 50.1 (44.3, 56.6) | 1.4 | -1.5 (-2.1, -0.9) |
Roanoke City | 5 | falling | higher | 65 | 50.3 (44.8, 56.3) | 1.4 | -4.6 (-8.1, -1.0) |
Loudoun County | 9 | falling | lower | 65 | 20.8 (18.5, 23.2) | 0.6 | -5.6 (-6.9, -4.2) |
Hampton City | 5 | falling | higher | 69 | 42.7 (38.2, 47.5) | 1.2 | -1.9 (-2.3, -1.4) |
Newport News City | 5 | falling | higher | 81 | 42.6 (38.5, 47.1) | 1.2 | -8.7 (-15.1, -1.8) |
Richmond City | 8 | falling | similar | 83 | 33.5 (30.3, 37.0) | 1.0 | -7.0 (-8.7, -5.3) |
Chesapeake City | 5 | falling | higher | 98 | 38.5 (35.1, 42.2) | 1.1 | -4.2 (-5.5, -2.8) |
Norfolk City | 5 | falling | higher | 103 | 45.6 (41.7, 49.9) | 1.3 | -2.3 (-2.7, -1.9) |
Prince William County | 9 | falling | lower | 105 | 28.3 (25.8, 30.9) | 0.8 | -3.4 (-4.0, -2.8) |
Chesterfield County | 8 | falling | similar | 136 | 34.5 (31.9, 37.3) | 1.0 | -4.1 (-5.5, -2.7) |
Henrico County | 8 | falling | similar | 146 | 36.1 (33.5, 38.9) | 1.0 | -2.5 (-2.9, -2.1) |
Virginia Beach City | 8 | falling | similar | 177 | 35.4 (33.0, 37.8) | 1.0 | -3.4 (-4.3, -2.5) |
Fairfax County | 9 | falling | lower | 231 | 19.2 (18.1, 20.3) | 0.5 | -4.9 (-5.7, -4.0) |
Buena Vista City |
|
** | similar | 5 | 48.9 (31.0, 75.0) | 1.4 |
|
Emporia City |
|
** | similar | 4 | 49.7 (30.1, 78.9) | 1.4 |
|
Norton City |
|
** | similar | 3 | 60.8 (35.2, 100.2) | 1.7 |
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Bland County |
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** |
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Craig County |
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** |
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Highland County |
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** |
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Manassas Park City |
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** |
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Williamsburg City |
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** |
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Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/19/2024 1:09 am.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Bland County, Craig County, Highland County, Manassas Park City, Williamsburg City
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Buena Vista City, Emporia City, Norton City
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/19/2024 1:09 am.
Trend2
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Bland County, Craig County, Highland County, Manassas Park City, Williamsburg City
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Buena Vista City, Emporia City, Norton City
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.