Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Washington Counties versus United States
Lung & Bronchus
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by priority index
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -4.6.
- Rate : The death rate is 35.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.9 to 35.0 and 142,497 average annual deaths.
Washington
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -4.2.
- Rate : The death rate is 31.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.3 to 32.3 and 2,822 average annual deaths.
Cowlitz County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 47.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 42.3 to 52.3 and 73 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Grays Harbor County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.2 to -3.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 43.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 38.0 to 49.1 and 53 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Mason County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 45.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 39.6 to 51.9 and 48 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Lincoln County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to 1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 27.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.6 to 41.9 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Adams County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 33.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.8 to 48.5 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Asotin County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 39.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.3 to 49.5 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Chelan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 32.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 27.4 to 37.4 and 36 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Clallam County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 34.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.1 to 39.1 and 54 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Clark County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to -3.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 33.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.7 to 36.2 and 188 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Douglas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 29.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.3 to 36.7 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Ferry County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.8 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 19.1 to 51.8 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Franklin County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.2 to -2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.0 to 38.6 and 22 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
Grant County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.3 to -2.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 34.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.1 to 39.6 and 35 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Kittitas County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -1.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 28.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 22.8 to 36.0 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Klickitat County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 38.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.1 to 49.1 and 15 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Lewis County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 39.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.8 to 45.2 and 50 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Okanogan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.1 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 41.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.3 to 49.2 and 27 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Pacific County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.8 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 41.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.5 to 51.5 and 20 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Pend Oreille County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 40.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 29.8 to 55.0 and 10 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Pierce County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.8 to -3.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 36.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.8 to 38.3 and 352 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Skagit County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -6.3 to -3.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 34.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.2 to 39.0 and 68 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Skamania County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.8 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 29.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.9 to 43.9 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Snohomish County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -4.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -5.1 to -2.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 33.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.7 to 35.3 and 290 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Spokane County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -8.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -15.9 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 36.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 34.2 to 38.5 and 228 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Stevens County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 36.4 with a 95% confidence interval from 30.4 to 43.4 and 28 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Thurston County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 33.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 31.1 to 36.6 and 123 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Walla Walla County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 33.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.4 to 40.2 and 29 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Yakima County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.4 to -1.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 36.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 33.0 to 39.6 and 96 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Benton County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -6.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -9.1 to -3.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 29.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 25.9 to 32.4 and 67 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Island County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.0 to -3.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 25.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 21.5 to 29.3 and 36 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Jefferson County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -8.3 with a 95% confidence interval from -12.6 to -3.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 24.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 20.1 to 31.4 and 20 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
King County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -7.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.0 to -5.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 24.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 23.7 to 25.6 and 567 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Kitsap County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.9 to -1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 31.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 28.6 to 34.0 and 109 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
San Juan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.3 to -0.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 22.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 15.9 to 32.3 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.6
Whatcom County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -10.3 to -2.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 29.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 26.5 to 32.4 and 83 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Whitman County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 9.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.1 to -0.7.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is lower compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 24.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 18.0 to 32.7 and 10 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/29/2024 8:16 am.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Columbia County, Garfield County, Wahkiakum County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.