Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
New Mexico Counties versus United States
Melanoma of the Skin
All Races, Both Sexes
Sorted by name
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -0.5.
- Rate : The death rate is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.1 to 2.1 and 8,150 average annual deaths.
New Mexico
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.6 to -0.1.
- Rate : The death rate is 2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.8 to 2.3 and 53 average annual deaths.
Bernalillo County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable
because the trend is -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 0.0.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 2.7 and 17 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Catron County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Chaves County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Cibola County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Colfax County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Curry County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
De Baca County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Dona Ana County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Eddy County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Grant County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Guadalupe County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Harding County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Hidalgo County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Lea County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Lincoln County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Los Alamos County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Luna County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
McKinley County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Mora County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Otero County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Quay County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Rio Arriba County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Roosevelt County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
San Juan County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.5 to 4.2 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
San Miguel County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Sandoval County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 2.0 to 4.4 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Santa Fe County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.0 to 2.7 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.8
Sierra County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Socorro County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Taos County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Torrance County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Union County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Valencia County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : *
- Rate : *
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : *
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/26/2024 1:27 am.
Rising
![](/i/rArrow_small.gif)
Stable
![](/i/bArrow_small.gif)
Falling
![](/i/gArrow_small.gif)
Rate Comparison
Above
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Similar
![](/i/equals_small.gif)
Below
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* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Catron County, Chaves County, Cibola County, Colfax County, Curry County, De Baca County, Dona Ana County, Eddy County, Grant County, Guadalupe County, Harding County, Hidalgo County, Lea County, Lincoln County, Los Alamos County, Luna County, McKinley County, Mora County, Otero County, Quay County, Rio Arriba County, Roosevelt County, San Miguel County, Sierra County, Socorro County, Taos County, Torrance County, Union County, Valencia County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
San Juan County, Sandoval County, Santa Fe County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.