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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Kentucky Counties versus United States

Breast

All Races, Female

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Kentucky


Boone County


Oldham County


Boyd County


Carter County


Franklin County


Jefferson County


Kenton County


Pike County


Barren County


Bell County


Boyle County


Bullitt County


Calloway County


Campbell County


Clark County


Fayette County


Floyd County


Grant County


Grayson County


Greenup County


Hardin County


Harrison County


Henderson County


Hopkins County


Johnson County


Knox County


Laurel County


Lincoln County


Madison County


McCracken County


Muhlenberg County


Nelson County


Ohio County


Pulaski County


Scott County


Shelby County


Taylor County


Warren County


Whitley County


Woodford County


Allen County


Christian County


Lawrence County


Perry County


Daviess County


Harlan County


Bourbon County Graves County Hart County Jessamine County Knott County Leslie County Marshall County Mercer County Montgomery County Rowan County Adair County Anderson County Ballard County Bath County Bracken County Breathitt County Breckinridge County Butler County Caldwell County Carlisle County Carroll County Casey County Clay County Clinton County Crittenden County Cumberland County Edmonson County Elliott County Estill County Fleming County Fulton County Gallatin County Garrard County Green County Hancock County Henry County Hickman County Jackson County Larue County Lee County Letcher County Lewis County Livingston County Logan County Lyon County Magoffin County Marion County Martin County Mason County McCreary County McLean County Meade County Menifee County Metcalfe County Monroe County Morgan County Nicholas County Owen County Owsley County Pendleton County Powell County Robertson County Rockcastle County Russell County Simpson County Spencer County Todd County Trigg County Trimble County Union County Washington County Wayne County Webster County Wolfe County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/12/2026 11:31 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Adair County, Anderson County, Ballard County, Bath County, Bracken County, Breathitt County, Breckinridge County, Butler County, Caldwell County, Carlisle County, Carroll County, Casey County, Clay County, Clinton County, Crittenden County, Cumberland County, Edmonson County, Elliott County, Estill County, Fleming County, Fulton County, Gallatin County, Garrard County, Green County, Hancock County, Henry County, Hickman County, Jackson County, Larue County, Lee County, Letcher County, Lewis County, Livingston County, Logan County, Lyon County, Magoffin County, Marion County, Martin County, Mason County, McCreary County, McLean County, Meade County, Menifee County, Metcalfe County, Monroe County, Morgan County, Nicholas County, Owen County, Owsley County, Pendleton County, Powell County, Robertson County, Rockcastle County, Russell County, Simpson County, Spencer County, Todd County, Trigg County, Trimble County, Union County, Washington County, Wayne County, Webster County, Wolfe County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Bourbon County, Graves County, Hart County, Jessamine County, Knott County, Leslie County, Marshall County, Mercer County, Montgomery County, Rowan County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.