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Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Missouri Counties versus United States

Breast

All Races, Female

Sorted by priority index

Explanation of Column Headers

State/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.

Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.

Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:

AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program


Other Notes


Line by Line Interpretation of the Report


United States


Missouri


Lawrence County


Randolph County


Barry County


Bates County


Benton County


Butler County


Cape Girardeau County


Laclede County


Lafayette County


Lincoln County


Marion County


Miller County


Newton County


Pettis County


St. Francois County


Camden County


Boone County


Buchanan County


Callaway County


Cass County


Christian County


Clay County


Cole County


Dunklin County


Franklin County


Greene County


Jackson County


Jasper County


Jefferson County


Morgan County


Phelps County


Platte County


Scott County


St. Louis City


St. Louis County


Stone County


Taney County


Texas County


Warren County


St. Charles County


Audrain County Clinton County Crawford County Howell County Johnson County Pemiscot County Pike County Polk County Pulaski County Ray County Stoddard County Vernon County Webster County Adair County Andrew County Atchison County Barton County Bollinger County Caldwell County Carroll County Carter County Cedar County Chariton County Clark County Cooper County Dade County Dallas County Daviess County DeKalb County Dent County Douglas County Gasconade County Gentry County Grundy County Harrison County Henry County Hickory County Holt County Howard County Iron County Knox County Lewis County Linn County Livingston County Macon County Madison County Maries County McDonald County Mercer County Mississippi County Moniteau County Monroe County Montgomery County New Madrid County Nodaway County Oregon County Osage County Ozark County Perry County Putnam County Ralls County Reynolds County Ripley County Saline County Schuyler County Scotland County Shannon County Shelby County St. Clair County Ste. Genevieve County Sullivan County Washington County Wayne County Worth County Wright County

Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/28/2024 11:19 pm.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Adair County, Andrew County, Atchison County, Barton County, Bollinger County, Caldwell County, Carroll County, Carter County, Cedar County, Chariton County, Clark County, Cooper County, Dade County, Dallas County, Daviess County, DeKalb County, Dent County, Douglas County, Gasconade County, Gentry County, Grundy County, Harrison County, Henry County, Hickory County, Holt County, Howard County, Iron County, Knox County, Lewis County, Linn County, Livingston County, Macon County, Madison County, Maries County, McDonald County, Mercer County, Mississippi County, Moniteau County, Monroe County, Montgomery County, New Madrid County, Nodaway County, Oregon County, Osage County, Ozark County, Perry County, Putnam County, Ralls County, Reynolds County, Ripley County, Saline County, Schuyler County, Scotland County, Shannon County, Shelby County, St. Clair County, Ste. Genevieve County, Sullivan County, Washington County, Wayne County, Worth County, Wright County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Audrain County, Clinton County, Crawford County, Howell County, Johnson County, Pemiscot County, Pike County, Polk County, Pulaski County, Ray County, Stoddard County, Vernon County, Webster County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.