Interpretation of Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Data
Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020
Illinois Counties versus United States
Ovary
All Races, Female
Sorted by trend
Explanation of Column HeadersState/County - The site and sex combination for this comparison.
Priority Index 1 - The priority index is based upon the direction of the trend and the rate comparison. An index of 1 is the highest priority - that trend is rising and the rate is already higher. An index of 9 is the lowest priority - the trend is falling and the rate is already lower.
Recent Trends - This is an interpretation of the AAPC:
- Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
- Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
- Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
AAPC (95% Confidence Interval) - The Average Annual Percent Change is the change in rate over time. These AAPCs are based upon APCs that were calculated by Joinpoint Regression Program
Other Notes
- Larger confidence intervals indicate less stability of the data. This is often due to low counts that are not quite low enough to be suppressed.
- Data is currently being suppressed if there are fewer than 16 counts for the time period.
Line by Line Interpretation of the Report
United States
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.6 to -2.2.
- Rate : The death rate is 6.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.3 to 6.4 and 13,809 average annual deaths.
Illinois
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -1.7.
- Rate : The death rate is 6.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.4 to 6.9 and 571 average annual deaths.
Vermilion County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 2.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 8.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.5 to 12.9 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.4
Adams County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is 0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to 1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.3 to 12.0 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
Sangamon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.9 to 1.1.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.7 to 10.2 and 11 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
St. Clair County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 8.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.3 to 10.3 and 14 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Winnebago County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.7 to 0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.2 to 10.0 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
Kane County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.2 to -0.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.8 to 8.6 and 22 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Lake County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.4 to 8.9 and 33 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
McHenry County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 5.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -0.3.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is higher compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 8.3 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.6 to 10.4 and 16 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.3
McLean County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 6.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is stable because the trend is -1.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to 0.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.2 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.9 to 10.2 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Will County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.6 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.7 to 6.8 and 24 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
DuPage County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.5 to -1.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.8 to 7.8 and 42 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Peoria County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.2 to -0.6.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.0 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 8.4 and 7 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
La Salle County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.5 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 9.9 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Rock Island County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.4 to -0.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.8 to 9.6 and 8 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
Tazewell County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.9 to -0.4.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.1 to 8.9 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Cook County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.5 with a 95% confidence interval from -3.0 to -1.9.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 6.2 to 7.0 and 223 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Macon County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -2.6 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.4 to -0.8.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.1 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.9 to 9.3 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
Champaign County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -3.0 with a 95% confidence interval from -4.5 to -1.5.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 4.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.0 to 6.9 and 5 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.7
Madison County
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index is 8.
- Recent Trend(2) : The trend is falling because the trend is -5.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -8.2 to -2.2.
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.6 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.2 to 7.4 and 11 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.5 with a 95% confidence interval from 4.0 to 10.3 and 4 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.0
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 7.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 5.2 to 11.4 and 6 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.2
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 5.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.3 to 9.4 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 0.9
- Priority Index(1) : The priority index cannot be determined.
- Recent Trend(2) : **
- County Death Rate Compared to US Rate : This death rate is similar compared to the US rate
- Rate : The death rate is 6.7 with a 95% confidence interval from 3.8 to 11.5 and 3 average annual deaths.
- Rate Ratio(3) County to US : The rate ratio is 1.1
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Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/28/2024 11:35 am.
Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alexander County, Bond County, Boone County, Brown County, Bureau County, Calhoun County, Carroll County, Cass County, Christian County, Clark County, Clay County, Clinton County, Coles County, Crawford County, Cumberland County, De Witt County, Douglas County, Edgar County, Edwards County, Effingham County, Fayette County, Ford County, Franklin County, Fulton County, Gallatin County, Greene County, Grundy County, Hamilton County, Hancock County, Hardin County, Henderson County, Henry County, Iroquois County, Jackson County, Jasper County, Jefferson County, Jersey County, Jo Daviess County, Johnson County, Knox County, Lawrence County, Lee County, Livingston County, Logan County, Macoupin County, Marion County, Marshall County, Mason County, Massac County, McDonough County, Menard County, Mercer County, Monroe County, Montgomery County, Morgan County, Moultrie County, Ogle County, Perry County, Piatt County, Pike County, Pope County, Pulaski County, Putnam County, Randolph County, Richland County, Saline County, Schuyler County, Scott County, Shelby County, Stark County, Stephenson County, Union County, Wabash County, Warren County, Washington County, Wayne County, White County, Williamson County, Woodford County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
DeKalb County, Kankakee County, Kendall County, Whiteside County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.