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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2019-2023

Virginia Counties versus United States

Prostate

All Races, Male

Sorted by rateratio

Counties
sort alphabetically by name ascending 		Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest
sort by priority index descending 		Recent Trend2
 County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
 Average Annual Count
sort by count descending 		Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by rate descending 		Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
sort by rate descending 		Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by trend descending
United States - falling - 32,830 19.2 (19.1, 19.3) - -0.6 (-0.9, -0.2)
Virginia - stable - 866 20.6 (20.0, 21.3) - 0.1 (-1.1, 2.7)
Roanoke County 7 stable lower 9 14.5 (10.5, 19.6) 0.8 -1.4 (-3.2, 0.4)
Fairfax County 7 stable lower 78 14.9 (13.5, 16.5) 0.8 -1.3 (-3.0, 4.6)
Hanover County 6 stable similar 10 15.5 (11.4, 20.8) 0.8 -0.8 (-3.6, 12.8)
Loudoun County 7 stable lower 21 15.6 (12.6, 18.9) 0.8 -2.2 (-4.0, 0.3)
Smyth County 8 falling similar 3 15.7 (9.1, 26.0) 0.8 -4.0 (-6.0, -2.3)
Washington County 6 stable similar 6 16.5 (11.0, 24.0) 0.9 -1.9 (-5.4, 1.7)
Culpeper County 6 stable similar 4 16.7 (10.1, 25.7) 0.9 -1.2 (-4.7, 3.0)
Spotsylvania County 8 falling similar 11 16.7 (12.4, 22.0) 0.9 -3.1 (-5.5, -0.3)
Henry County 6 stable similar 7 16.9 (11.7, 24.2) 0.9 -2.4 (-4.7, 0.0)
Alexandria City 8 falling similar 9 17.0 (12.3, 22.8) 0.9 -4.4 (-6.7, -2.3)
Montgomery County 6 stable similar 7 17.0 (11.8, 23.8) 0.9 -1.1 (-3.5, 1.6)
Rockingham County 6 stable similar 10 17.8 (13.1, 23.8) 0.9 -1.2 (-3.3, 1.4)
Pulaski County 6 stable similar 4 18.0 (10.5, 29.2) 0.9 -2.4 (-5.2, 0.3)
Fauquier County 6 stable similar 7 18.1 (12.4, 25.6) 0.9 -2.1 (-5.2, 1.4)
Henrico County 6 stable similar 30 18.5 (15.6, 21.8) 1.0 0.4 (-1.6, 9.3)
Arlington County 6 stable similar 16 18.5 (14.6, 23.1) 1.0 -1.6 (-3.2, 0.1)
James City County 6 stable similar 13 18.9 (14.4, 24.6) 1.0 -2.4 (-5.2, 0.9)
Prince William County 8 falling similar 29 18.9 (15.8, 22.4) 1.0 -2.0 (-3.2, -0.6)
Chesterfield County 8 falling similar 28 19.2 (16.0, 22.8) 1.0 -2.9 (-4.7, -1.0)
Albemarle County 6 stable similar 14 19.3 (15.0, 24.7) 1.0 -2.1 (-4.0, 0.0)
Augusta County 6 stable similar 11 19.4 (14.5, 25.8) 1.0 -2.3 (-5.7, 1.5)
Franklin County 8 falling similar 7 19.8 (13.5, 28.3) 1.0 -3.3 (-6.5, 0.0)
Louisa County 6 stable similar 4 19.9 (11.8, 31.3) 1.0 -2.5 (-6.1, 1.4)
Frederick County 6 stable similar 10 19.9 (14.7, 26.3) 1.0 -1.2 (-3.3, 1.6)
York County 6 stable similar 8 21.0 (14.9, 28.7) 1.1 -1.8 (-5.2, 2.5)
Russell County 6 stable similar 4 21.3 (12.8, 34.2) 1.1 -1.3 (-4.4, 2.1)
Bedford City and County 6 stable similar 11 21.4 (16.0, 28.1) 1.1 -1.8 (-4.5, 1.3)
Virginia Beach City 6 stable similar 45 21.6 (18.8, 24.7) 1.1 0.8 (-1.3, 8.3)
Chesapeake City 8 falling similar 21 21.8 (17.7, 26.6) 1.1 -3.4 (-8.6, -2.0)
Campbell County 6 stable similar 8 22.4 (15.9, 31.0) 1.2 -2.1 (-5.3, 1.8)
Wythe County 6 stable similar 4 22.6 (13.6, 35.9) 1.2 -2.2 (-4.9, 0.5)
Hampton City 8 falling similar 15 23.6 (18.5, 29.7) 1.2 -2.1 (-4.0, -0.2)
Salem City 6 stable similar 3 23.8 (13.6, 38.9) 1.2 -0.7 (-4.7, 3.6)
Stafford County 6 stable similar 12 24.1 (17.9, 31.4) 1.3 9.9 (-1.8, 37.5)
Shenandoah County 6 stable similar 7 24.3 (16.7, 34.4) 1.3 -0.6 (-3.2, 2.6)
Orange County 6 stable similar 5 24.8 (16.0, 36.8) 1.3 -2.7 (-6.3, 1.3)
Warren County 6 stable similar 5 24.8 (15.9, 37.0) 1.3 -0.9 (-4.4, 3.1)
Mecklenburg County 6 stable similar 6 24.8 (16.7, 36.4) 1.3 -2.5 (-5.3, 0.3)
Newport News City 4 stable higher 18 25.1 (20.0, 31.0) 1.3 -1.3 (-2.7, 0.1)
Richmond City 4 stable higher 25 26.3 (21.6, 31.6) 1.4 0.9 (-3.4, 13.2)
Wise County 6 stable similar 5 27.5 (17.6, 40.9) 1.4 12.5 (-1.2, 44.9)
Gloucester County 6 stable similar 6 27.9 (18.2, 40.9) 1.5 -0.8 (-4.0, 3.0)
Carroll County 6 stable similar 7 28.2 (19.2, 40.8) 1.5 -0.7 (-4.4, 3.9)
Suffolk City 5 falling higher 12 28.5 (21.2, 37.3) 1.5 -2.8 (-5.1, -0.5)
Halifax County with South Boston City 4 stable higher 7 29.9 (20.6, 42.4) 1.6 -2.7 (-6.5, 0.6)
Winchester City 6 stable similar 4 29.9 (18.1, 46.5) 1.6 -0.6 (-3.7, 2.9)
Roanoke City 4 stable higher 14 30.0 (23.1, 38.3) 1.6 -0.8 (-3.4, 1.6)
Nelson County 6 stable similar 4 30.6 (18.4, 50.4) 1.6 -1.4 (-4.5, 2.1)
Norfolk City 4 stable higher 25 30.7 (25.3, 36.8) 1.6 1.1 (-2.3, 13.1)
Lynchburg City 4 stable higher 11 33.7 (25.4, 43.7) 1.8 1.5 (-19.4, 19.5)
Accomack County 4 stable higher 10 36.8 (26.9, 49.8) 1.9 3.5 (-0.5, 21.9)
Danville City 4 stable higher 8 37.6 (26.6, 51.6) 2.0 -0.3 (-3.5, 2.8)
Petersburg City 4 stable higher 5 37.7 (23.8, 56.5) 2.0 -1.1 (-4.5, 2.0)
Portsmouth City 4 stable higher 16 38.9 (30.7, 48.6) 2.0 -0.1 (-1.8, 1.6)
Amherst County
**
 		** similar 5 26.7 (16.9, 40.5) 1.4
**
Botetourt County
**
 		** similar 5 21.1 (13.3, 32.3) 1.1
**
Caroline County
**
 		** similar 4 24.5 (14.1, 39.4) 1.3
**
Charlottesville City
**
 		** similar 3 18.9 (10.5, 30.9) 1.0
**
Clarke County
**
 		** higher 4 37.9 (22.4, 61.3) 2.0
**
Colonial Heights City
**
 		** higher 4 43.6 (27.2, 66.7) 2.3
**
Dinwiddie County
**
 		** higher 5 34.8 (21.7, 52.8) 1.8
**
Fluvanna County
**
 		** similar 4 22.8 (13.6, 36.5) 1.2
**
Goochland County
**
 		** similar 3 20.1 (11.4, 33.5) 1.0
**
Isle of Wight County
**
 		** similar 5 21.4 (13.1, 33.0) 1.1
**
Lancaster County
**
 		** similar 4 27.4 (16.2, 50.3) 1.4
**
Lee County
**
 		** similar 4 32.6 (19.3, 51.6) 1.7
**
Middlesex County
**
 		** similar 4 30.8 (18.4, 53.7) 1.6
**
Northampton County
**
 		** similar 3 27.6 (15.6, 49.1) 1.4
**
Pittsylvania County
**
 		** similar 10 23.1 (17.0, 31.0) 1.2
**
Powhatan County
**
 		** similar 3 21.4 (11.7, 35.6) 1.1
**
Scott County
**
 		** similar 4 22.0 (13.1, 35.9) 1.1
**
Southampton County
**
 		** similar 4 34.2 (20.8, 54.0) 1.8
**
Tazewell County
**
 		** similar 4 13.3 (7.8, 21.7) 0.7
**
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Amelia County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Appomattox County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bath County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bristol City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Brunswick County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buchanan County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buckingham County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buena Vista City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charles City County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charlotte County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Covington City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Craig County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Cumberland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Dickenson County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Emporia City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Essex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Fairfax City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Falls Church City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Floyd County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Franklin City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Fredericksburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Galax City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Giles County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Grayson County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Greene County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Greensville County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Harrisonburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Highland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Hopewell City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King George County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King William County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King and Queen County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lexington City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lunenburg County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Madison County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Manassas City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Manassas Park City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Martinsville City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mathews County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
New Kent County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Northumberland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Norton City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Nottoway County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Page County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Patrick County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Poquoson City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Prince Edward County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Prince George County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Radford City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Rappahannock County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Richmond County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Rockbridge County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Staunton City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Surry County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Sussex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Waynesboro City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Westmoreland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Williamsburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 03/12/2026 7:34 pm.

Trend2
     Rising    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above    when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar    when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below    when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (20 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85-89, 90+). The Healthy People 2030 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City, Amelia County, Appomattox County, Bath County, Bland County, Bristol City, Brunswick County, Buchanan County, Buckingham County, Buena Vista City, Charles City County, Charlotte County, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Dickenson County, Emporia City, Essex County, Fairfax City, Falls Church City, Floyd County, Franklin City, Fredericksburg City, Galax City, Giles County, Grayson County, Greene County, Greensville County, Harrisonburg City, Highland County, Hopewell City, King George County, King William County, King and Queen County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Madison County, Manassas City, Manassas Park City, Martinsville City, Mathews County, New Kent County, Northumberland County, Norton City, Nottoway County, Page County, Patrick County, Poquoson City, Prince Edward County, Prince George County, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Rockbridge County, Staunton City, Surry County, Sussex County, Waynesboro City, Westmoreland County, Williamsburg City

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Amherst County, Botetourt County, Caroline County, Charlottesville City, Clarke County, Colonial Heights City, Dinwiddie County, Fluvanna County, Goochland County, Isle of Wight County, Lancaster County, Lee County, Middlesex County, Northampton County, Pittsylvania County, Powhatan County, Scott County, Southampton County, Tazewell County

Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States do not include Puerto Rico.

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