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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

Virginia Counties versus United States

Prostate

All Races, Male

Sorted by priority index
Counties
sort alphabetically by name ascending 		Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest
sort by priority index descending 		Recent Trend2
 County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
 Average Annual Count
sort by count descending 		Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by rate descending 		Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
sort by rate descending 		Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
sort by trend descending
United States - stable stable trend - 31,337 18.8 (18.7, 18.9) - -0.5 (-0.9, 0.0)
Virginia - stable stable trend - 806 20.0 (19.4, 20.6) - 0.7 (-1.3, 2.7)
Hopewell City 4 stable stable trend higher 5 47.8 (29.8, 72.2) 2.5 -0.3 (-2.2, 1.6)
Lynchburg City 4 stable stable trend higher 12 33.5 (25.6, 43.1) 1.8 -1.1 (-2.5, 0.3)
Petersburg City 4 stable stable trend higher 8 54.5 (38.1, 75.6) 2.9 -0.7 (-2.1, 0.6)
Salem City 4 stable stable trend higher 5 34.1 (21.8, 51.3) 1.8 -0.7 (-2.6, 1.4)
Warren County 4 stable stable trend higher 6 32.8 (21.8, 47.2) 1.7 -1.1 (-2.9, 0.8)
Accomack County 5 falling falling trend higher 8 32.0 (22.9, 44.3) 1.7 -2.3 (-3.9, -0.7)
Chesapeake City 5 falling falling trend higher 23 24.7 (20.2, 29.9) 1.3 -3.2 (-4.2, -2.2)
Hampton City 5 falling falling trend higher 16 25.4 (20.1, 31.7) 1.4 -2.6 (-3.5, -1.6)
Newport News City 5 falling falling trend higher 20 29.6 (24.0, 36.1) 1.6 -2.9 (-3.8, -1.9)
Norfolk City 5 falling falling trend higher 28 33.9 (28.3, 40.1) 1.8 -2.1 (-3.2, -1.1)
Portsmouth City 5 falling falling trend higher 14 31.4 (24.3, 40.0) 1.7 -1.8 (-2.8, -0.8)
Richmond City 5 falling falling trend higher 22 23.7 (19.3, 28.8) 1.3 -4.0 (-4.6, -3.3)
Virginia Beach City 5 falling falling trend higher 44 22.5 (19.6, 25.8) 1.2 -2.8 (-3.5, -2.0)
Gloucester County 6 stable stable trend similar 4 20.1 (12.4, 31.1) 1.1 -1.8 (-3.8, 0.3)
Stafford County 6 stable stable trend similar 8 18.3 (12.9, 24.9) 1.0 24.9 (-8.9, 71.2)
Winchester City 6 stable stable trend similar 3 23.8 (13.5, 38.7) 1.3 -1.6 (-3.5, 0.5)
Albemarle County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 16.4 (12.3, 21.6) 0.9 -3.3 (-4.6, -2.1)
Arlington County 8 falling falling trend similar 12 15.0 (11.4, 19.4) 0.8 -3.7 (-4.5, -2.9)
Augusta County 8 falling falling trend similar 8 15.2 (10.9, 21.0) 0.8 -4.1 (-5.8, -2.4)
Bedford City and County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 19.0 (14.0, 25.4) 1.0 -3.0 (-4.4, -1.6)
Chesterfield County 8 falling falling trend similar 28 20.2 (16.8, 23.9) 1.1 -3.5 (-4.8, -2.2)
Culpeper County 8 falling falling trend similar 4 16.0 (9.6, 24.9) 0.9 -3.6 (-5.6, -1.5)
Danville City 8 falling falling trend similar 6 25.0 (16.7, 36.4) 1.3 -2.5 (-3.9, -1.1)
Fauquier County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 18.4 (12.4, 26.2) 1.0 -4.2 (-6.0, -2.5)
Franklin County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 15.6 (10.4, 22.8) 0.8 -3.4 (-5.4, -1.4)
Frederick County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 18.3 (13.3, 24.6) 1.0 -3.3 (-4.8, -1.8)
Halifax County with South Boston City 8 falling falling trend similar 6 23.9 (16.0, 35.1) 1.3 -2.6 (-4.4, -0.8)
Henrico County 8 falling falling trend similar 26 17.0 (14.2, 20.3) 0.9 -3.1 (-3.9, -2.4)
Henry County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 15.6 (10.7, 22.7) 0.8 -2.9 (-4.2, -1.5)
James City County 8 falling falling trend similar 12 18.1 (13.7, 23.7) 1.0 -4.0 (-5.3, -2.6)
Loudoun County 8 falling falling trend similar 21 16.7 (13.6, 20.3) 0.9 -3.3 (-4.5, -2.1)
Louisa County 8 falling falling trend similar 5 21.6 (13.6, 32.8) 1.1 -3.4 (-4.9, -1.9)
Mecklenburg County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 24.8 (16.7, 36.3) 1.3 -2.2 (-3.8, -0.6)
Montgomery County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 17.4 (12.0, 24.4) 0.9 -3.3 (-4.8, -1.8)
Northumberland County 8 falling falling trend similar 3 23.1 (13.3, 43.7) 1.2 -4.5 (-6.6, -2.4)
Prince William County 8 falling falling trend similar 24 18.0 (14.8, 21.7) 1.0 -4.5 (-5.5, -3.5)
Pulaski County 8 falling falling trend similar 3 14.3 (8.2, 23.7) 0.8 -2.2 (-3.8, -0.5)
Roanoke City 8 falling falling trend similar 11 23.9 (17.8, 31.2) 1.3 -2.2 (-3.4, -1.1)
Rockingham County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 21.4 (16.0, 28.0) 1.1 -2.0 (-3.5, -0.6)
Shenandoah County 8 falling falling trend similar 5 18.2 (11.8, 27.2) 1.0 -2.8 (-4.7, -1.0)
Smyth County 8 falling falling trend similar 3 15.7 (9.1, 25.9) 0.8 -3.7 (-5.4, -2.1)
Suffolk City 8 falling falling trend similar 9 24.0 (17.4, 32.3) 1.3 -3.2 (-4.5, -1.8)
Washington County 8 falling falling trend similar 5 14.2 (9.2, 21.3) 0.8 -2.1 (-4.0, -0.2)
Wise County 8 falling falling trend similar 3 17.7 (10.2, 28.5) 0.9 -3.1 (-4.9, -1.3)
York County 8 falling falling trend similar 5 15.1 (9.8, 22.3) 0.8 -4.9 (-6.8, -2.8)
Alexandria City 9 falling falling trend lower 8 14.1 (9.8, 19.4) 0.7 -3.5 (-4.8, -2.1)
Fairfax County 9 falling falling trend lower 75 15.3 (13.8, 17.0) 0.8 -3.7 (-4.3, -3.1)
Hanover County 9 falling falling trend lower 9 14.3 (10.3, 19.5) 0.8 -5.1 (-6.2, -4.0)
Roanoke County 9 falling falling trend lower 9 14.1 (10.1, 19.2) 0.7 -3.3 (-4.5, -2.1)
Amherst County
**
 		** similar 5 24.0 (15.1, 36.6) 1.3
**
Botetourt County
**
 		** similar 4 17.8 (10.7, 28.5) 0.9
**
Campbell County
**
 		** similar 7 20.4 (14.2, 28.7) 1.1
**
Caroline County
**
 		** similar 3 21.9 (12.1, 36.1) 1.2
**
Carroll County
**
 		** similar 4 19.7 (12.3, 30.9) 1.0
**
Clarke County
**
 		** higher 4 38.8 (22.7, 63.2) 2.1
**
Dinwiddie County
**
 		** similar 4 26.7 (16.0, 42.0) 1.4
**
Fairfax City
**
 		** similar 3 34.4 (19.8, 55.2) 1.8
**
Floyd County
**
 		** similar 3 33.4 (19.1, 55.3) 1.8
**
Fluvanna County
**
 		** similar 3 18.8 (10.8, 31.2) 1.0
**
Isle of Wight County
**
 		** similar 4 18.8 (11.4, 29.5) 1.0
**
Middlesex County
**
 		** similar 3 28.5 (16.2, 51.9) 1.5
**
Nelson County
**
 		** similar 4 33.5 (20.0, 54.9) 1.8
**
Orange County
**
 		** similar 6 26.6 (18.0, 38.3) 1.4
**
Pittsylvania County
**
 		** similar 8 19.7 (14.1, 27.2) 1.0
**
Powhatan County
**
 		** similar 3 20.2 (11.2, 33.7) 1.1
**
Russell County
**
 		** similar 4 19.3 (11.3, 31.6) 1.0
**
Scott County
**
 		** similar 4 22.1 (13.5, 35.7) 1.2
**
Spotsylvania County
**
 		** lower 9 13.8 (9.9, 18.7) 0.7
**
Tazewell County
**
 		** lower 3 12.2 (6.9, 20.3) 0.6
**
Wythe County
**
 		** similar 4 24.6 (15.2, 38.2) 1.3
**
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Amelia County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Appomattox County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bath County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Bristol City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Brunswick County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buchanan County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buckingham County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Buena Vista City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charles City County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charlotte County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Charlottesville City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Colonial Heights City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Covington City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Craig County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Cumberland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Dickenson County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Emporia City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Essex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Falls Church City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Franklin City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Fredericksburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Galax City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Giles County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Goochland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Grayson County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Greene County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Greensville County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Harrisonburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Highland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King George County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King William County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
King and Queen County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lancaster County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lee County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lexington City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lunenburg County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Madison County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Manassas City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Manassas Park City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Martinsville City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Mathews County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
New Kent County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Northampton County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Norton City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Nottoway County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Page County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Patrick County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Poquoson City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Prince Edward County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Prince George County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Radford City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Rappahannock County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Richmond County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Rockbridge County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Southampton County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Staunton City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Surry County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Sussex County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Waynesboro City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Westmoreland County
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Williamsburg City
**
 		**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 04/23/2024 2:06 am.

Trend2
     Rising    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling    when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above    when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar    when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below    when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City, Amelia County, Appomattox County, Bath County, Bland County, Bristol City, Brunswick County, Buchanan County, Buckingham County, Buena Vista City, Charles City County, Charlotte County, Charlottesville City, Colonial Heights City, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Dickenson County, Emporia City, Essex County, Falls Church City, Franklin City, Fredericksburg City, Galax City, Giles County, Goochland County, Grayson County, Greene County, Greensville County, Harrisonburg City, Highland County, King George County, King William County, King and Queen County, Lancaster County, Lee County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Madison County, Manassas City, Manassas Park City, Martinsville City, Mathews County, New Kent County, Northampton County, Norton City, Nottoway County, Page County, Patrick County, Poquoson City, Prince Edward County, Prince George County, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Rockbridge County, Southampton County, Staunton City, Surry County, Sussex County, Waynesboro City, Westmoreland County, Williamsburg City

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Amherst County, Botetourt County, Campbell County, Caroline County, Carroll County, Clarke County, Dinwiddie County, Fairfax City, Floyd County, Fluvanna County, Isle of Wight County, Middlesex County, Nelson County, Orange County, Pittsylvania County, Powhatan County, Russell County, Scott County, Spotsylvania County, Tazewell County, Wythe County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

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