Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer
Counties
|
Priority Index1 1=highest 9=lowest 
|
Recent Trend2 |
County Death Rate Compared to US Rate |
Average Annual Count
|
Age-Adjusted Death Rate deaths per 100,000 (95% Confidence Interval)
|
Rate Ratio3 County to US
|
Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates (95% Confidence Interval)
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States | - |
falling 
|
- | 283,896 | 128.7 (128.5, 129.0) | - | -1.9 (-2.2, -1.7) |
| Kentucky | - |
falling
|
- | 4,740 | 155.3 (153.3, 157.3) | - | -1.1 (-1.2, -0.9) |
| Jefferson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 784 | 145.1 (140.5, 149.9) | 1.1 | -1.6 (-1.9, -1.2) |
| Fayette County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 254 | 132.8 (125.4, 140.4) | 1.0 | -1.4 (-1.8, -1.1) |
| Kenton County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 159 | 153.6 (142.9, 165.0) | 1.2 | -1.0 (-1.4, -0.7) |
| Warren County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 111 | 153.9 (141.1, 167.5) | 1.2 | -0.7 (-1.1, -0.3) |
| Daviess County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 106 | 147.9 (135.2, 161.5) | 1.1 | -0.6 (-1.1, -0.1) |
| Hardin County | 4 |
stable 
|
higher | 103 | 151.3 (138.3, 165.3) | 1.2 | -0.4 (-0.8, 0.0) |
| Campbell County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 95 | 151.8 (138.1, 166.6) | 1.2 | -1.3 (-1.6, -0.9) |
| Boone County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 91 | 118.4 (107.6, 130.1) | 0.9 | -1.8 (-2.3, -1.2) |
| Pulaski County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 84 | 172.0 (155.5, 190.0) | 1.3 | -0.1 (-0.4, 0.3) |
| Pike County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 79 | 180.5 (162.5, 200.2) | 1.4 | 0.1 (-0.4, 0.5) |
| Bullitt County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 77 | 146.1 (131.6, 161.9) | 1.1 | -0.8 (-1.4, -0.2) |
| Madison County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 77 | 145.8 (131.4, 161.5) | 1.1 | -2.0 (-3.6, -0.3) |
| McCracken County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 77 | 141.9 (127.3, 157.9) | 1.1 | -0.9 (-1.3, -0.5) |
| Laurel County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 69 | 167.5 (150.0, 186.6) | 1.3 | -0.2 (-0.9, 0.4) |
| Floyd County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 62 | 233.9 (207.7, 262.9) | 1.8 | -0.2 (-0.8, 0.5) |
| Boyd County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 59 | 158.8 (140.5, 179.3) | 1.2 | -0.9 (-1.3, -0.5) |
| Christian County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 56 | 149.6 (132.3, 168.5) | 1.2 | -0.7 (-1.2, -0.3) |
| Hopkins County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 55 | 160.4 (141.4, 181.6) | 1.2 | -0.7 (-1.3, -0.1) |
| Franklin County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 54 | 143.0 (126.1, 161.8) | 1.1 | -1.3 (-2.0, -0.7) |
| Henderson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 52 | 158.9 (139.6, 180.3) | 1.2 | -0.5 (-1.1, 0.2) |
| Barren County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 50 | 152.2 (133.6, 172.9) | 1.2 | -0.5 (-1.2, 0.1) |
| Greenup County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 49 | 158.4 (138.8, 180.6) | 1.2 | -0.9 (-1.4, -0.4) |
| Graves County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 45 | 163.0 (141.7, 186.8) | 1.3 | -0.1 (-0.8, 0.5) |
| Nelson County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 45 | 148.7 (129.6, 170.1) | 1.2 | -0.8 (-1.6, -0.1) |
| Knox County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 45 | 206.7 (179.8, 236.7) | 1.6 | 0.6 (0.0, 1.2) |
| Whitley County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 45 | 188.7 (164.4, 215.8) | 1.5 | -0.2 (-1.0, 0.6) |
| Scott County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 44 | 151.2 (131.6, 172.9) | 1.2 | -1.4 (-2.1, -0.7) |
| Oldham County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 44 | 123.3 (107.1, 141.4) | 1.0 | -1.0 (-1.7, -0.2) |
| Perry County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 44 | 244.4 (212.1, 280.5) | 1.9 | 0.3 (-0.4, 1.0) |
| Jessamine County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 44 | 129.7 (112.7, 148.6) | 1.0 | -1.4 (-2.2, -0.6) |
| Shelby County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 44 | 141.5 (123.0, 162.1) | 1.1 | -1.2 (-2.0, -0.5) |
| Clark County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 42 | 158.3 (137.3, 182.0) | 1.2 | -0.2 (-0.9, 0.4) |
| Marshall County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 42 | 158.6 (136.9, 183.4) | 1.2 | -0.6 (-1.3, 0.1) |
| Bell County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 37 | 180.6 (154.9, 209.9) | 1.4 | -0.4 (-1.1, 0.2) |
| Harlan County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 37 | 184.4 (157.8, 214.7) | 1.4 | 0.5 (-0.4, 1.4) |
| Muhlenberg County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 37 | 152.8 (130.8, 178.0) | 1.2 | -0.5 (-1.1, 0.2) |
| Calloway County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 36 | 139.7 (119.3, 162.8) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-0.7, 0.6) |
| Johnson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 36 | 226.4 (193.8, 263.4) | 1.8 | 0.4 (-0.2, 1.0) |
| Boyle County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 36 | 155.5 (132.6, 181.8) | 1.2 | -0.7 (-1.6, 0.2) |
| Taylor County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 35 | 187.3 (159.5, 219.0) | 1.5 | 0.5 (-0.4, 1.3) |
| Carter County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 35 | 169.8 (144.8, 198.4) | 1.3 | -1.1 (-1.7, -0.5) |
| Grayson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 33 | 174.6 (148.2, 204.8) | 1.4 | 0.1 (-0.6, 0.9) |
| Logan County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 33 | 165.7 (140.5, 194.6) | 1.3 | -0.3 (-1.1, 0.6) |
| Montgomery County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 31 | 161.9 (137.0, 190.4) | 1.3 | -0.9 (-1.8, 0.1) |
| Lincoln County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 30 | 163.9 (138.4, 193.3) | 1.3 | 0.6 (-0.1, 1.3) |
| Clay County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 28 | 218.4 (183.1, 259.1) | 1.7 | 0.6 (-0.2, 1.4) |
| Letcher County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 28 | 165.4 (138.5, 196.6) | 1.3 | -0.7 (-1.4, -0.1) |
| Ohio County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 28 | 168.5 (141.0, 200.3) | 1.3 | -0.5 (-1.4, 0.4) |
| Bourbon County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 28 | 183.2 (153.3, 218.0) | 1.4 | -0.5 (-1.4, 0.5) |
| Meade County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 26 | 158.9 (132.4, 189.3) | 1.2 | -0.6 (-1.6, 0.4) |
| Woodford County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 26 | 138.2 (114.9, 165.3) | 1.1 | 0.7 (-2.8, 4.2) |
| Mercer County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 26 | 147.5 (122.9, 176.4) | 1.1 | -0.5 (-1.3, 0.3) |
| Anderson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 25 | 168.0 (139.3, 201.2) | 1.3 | -0.1 (-1.1, 0.9) |
| Breckinridge County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 25 | 159.1 (131.7, 191.5) | 1.2 | -1.1 (-1.8, -0.3) |
| Grant County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 170.4 (140.9, 204.4) | 1.3 | -0.1 (-1.0, 0.7) |
| Russell County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 169.9 (139.7, 205.6) | 1.3 | 0.1 (-0.7, 1.0) |
| Allen County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 158.6 (130.8, 191.3) | 1.2 | -0.1 (-1.3, 1.1) |
| Hart County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 24 | 179.4 (147.8, 216.4) | 1.4 | 0.2 (-1.0, 1.4) |
| Knott County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 23 | 202.7 (166.1, 245.9) | 1.6 | 0.5 (-0.4, 1.4) |
| Rowan County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 23 | 160.3 (131.8, 193.5) | 1.2 | 0.3 (-0.8, 1.4) |
| Wayne County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 23 | 150.3 (122.4, 183.2) | 1.2 | -0.5 (-1.3, 0.3) |
| Garrard County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 22 | 169.7 (138.1, 207.0) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-1.5, 0.4) |
| Lawrence County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 22 | 195.4 (159.3, 238.0) | 1.5 | -0.2 (-0.9, 0.6) |
| Adair County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 21 | 151.7 (123.0, 185.8) | 1.2 | 0.3 (-0.8, 1.4) |
| Mason County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 21 | 166.7 (135.5, 203.7) | 1.3 | -0.2 (-1.1, 0.6) |
| Simpson County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 20 | 161.0 (130.6, 197.0) | 1.3 | 0.5 (-0.4, 1.3) |
| Henry County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 20 | 176.5 (142.5, 216.8) | 1.4 | -0.1 (-1.1, 0.8) |
| Rockcastle County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 20 | 164.6 (132.7, 202.7) | 1.3 | 0.3 (-0.6, 1.2) |
| Marion County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 20 | 141.1 (113.6, 173.8) | 1.1 | -1.4 (-2.5, -0.2) |
| Fleming County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 19 | 192.6 (154.9, 237.4) | 1.5 | 0.6 (-0.5, 1.6) |
| McCreary County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 19 | 176.2 (141.8, 217.2) | 1.4 | -1.2 (-2.2, -0.1) |
| Butler County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 19 | 203.7 (163.9, 251.3) | 1.6 | 0.4 (-0.8, 1.5) |
| Casey County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 18 | 136.6 (109.3, 169.8) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-1.1, 0.9) |
| Harrison County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 18 | 130.4 (104.2, 162.0) | 1.0 | -1.0 (-2.0, 0.1) |
| Trigg County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 18 | 154.3 (122.8, 192.7) | 1.2 | -0.7 (-1.8, 0.4) |
| Estill County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 18 | 161.5 (128.7, 201.3) | 1.3 | 0.2 (-0.8, 1.2) |
| Larue County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 17 | 169.3 (134.7, 211.1) | 1.3 | -0.2 (-1.3, 0.9) |
| Martin County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 17 | 236.3 (187.1, 295.7) | 1.8 | 0.3 (-1.0, 1.6) |
| Leslie County | 1 |
rising 
|
higher | 17 | 232.3 (184.2, 290.7) | 1.8 | 1.7 (0.3, 3.0) |
| Lewis County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 173.1 (136.4, 217.6) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-1.5, 0.3) |
| Metcalfe County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 205.2 (162.6, 257.4) | 1.6 | 1.3 (-0.1, 2.6) |
| Todd County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 203.2 (160.7, 254.2) | 1.6 | 0.2 (-1.0, 1.4) |
| Pendleton County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 169.0 (133.2, 212.3) | 1.3 | -0.5 (-1.7, 0.7) |
| Morgan County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 192.7 (151.6, 242.9) | 1.5 | 0.2 (-1.0, 1.5) |
| Union County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 16 | 156.8 (123.2, 197.8) | 1.2 | -0.8 (-1.9, 0.3) |
| Webster County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 16 | 170.2 (133.5, 214.7) | 1.3 | -0.2 (-1.2, 0.9) |
| Clinton County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 15 | 198.2 (155.3, 250.9) | 1.5 | 0.3 (-1.2, 1.9) |
| Caldwell County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 15 | 139.8 (109.0, 178.2) | 1.1 | -0.4 (-1.4, 0.6) |
| Edmonson County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 15 | 155.3 (121.4, 197.4) | 1.2 | -0.4 (-1.3, 0.6) |
| Jackson County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 15 | 161.9 (126.9, 204.7) | 1.3 | -0.5 (-1.6, 0.7) |
| Monroe County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 15 | 192.9 (150.3, 245.2) | 1.5 | 0.3 (-0.6, 1.3) |
| Powell County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 15 | 188.5 (147.5, 238.2) | 1.5 | -0.5 (-1.5, 0.6) |
| Washington County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 15 | 158.4 (124.0, 200.7) | 1.2 | -0.5 (-1.8, 0.8) |
| Green County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 15 | 159.3 (124.5, 202.8) | 1.2 | 0.6 (-0.8, 2.0) |
| Breathitt County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 14 | 157.4 (121.0, 202.3) | 1.2 | -0.5 (-1.6, 0.6) |
| Magoffin County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 13 | 156.8 (120.7, 201.5) | 1.2 | -1.5 (-2.7, -0.3) |
| Spencer County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 13 | 123.3 (94.0, 159.1) | 1.0 | -1.3 (-2.3, -0.3) |
| Livingston County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 13 | 160.7 (122.4, 209.8) | 1.2 | 0.2 (-1.1, 1.5) |
| Bath County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 13 | 147.1 (112.4, 190.0) | 1.1 | -0.6 (-1.9, 0.6) |
| McLean County | 5 |
falling
|
higher | 12 | 173.4 (132.4, 225.1) | 1.3 | -1.3 (-2.2, -0.3) |
| Wolfe County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 12 | 226.3 (171.3, 295.3) | 1.8 | -0.8 (-2.5, 0.9) |
| Carroll County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 12 | 167.2 (126.0, 218.5) | 1.3 | -0.6 (-1.7, 0.6) |
| Cumberland County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 11 | 189.8 (143.1, 250.7) | 1.5 | 0.7 (-0.7, 2.2) |
| Lyon County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 11 | 151.2 (110.1, 207.8) | 1.2 | -0.3 (-1.8, 1.3) |
| Owen County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 11 | 137.4 (102.4, 182.0) | 1.1 | -0.9 (-2.0, 0.3) |
| Gallatin County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 10 | 197.2 (145.5, 262.1) | 1.5 | 0.0 (-1.6, 1.6) |
| Crittenden County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 10 | 141.1 (103.9, 189.7) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-1.6, 1.4) |
| Elliott County | 4 |
stable
|
higher | 10 | 182.4 (132.7, 247.7) | 1.4 | -0.3 (-1.9, 1.3) |
| Ballard County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 9 | 121.6 (87.8, 167.5) | 0.9 | -1.5 (-2.6, -0.4) |
| Bracken County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 8 | 138.4 (98.9, 190.4) | 1.1 | 0.1 (-1.3, 1.5) |
| Lee County | 8 |
falling
|
similar | 8 | 160.5 (113.6, 223.6) | 1.2 | -3.5 (-5.5, -1.5) |
| Menifee County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 8 | 150.9 (107.2, 210.6) | 1.2 | -1.3 (-2.8, 0.3) |
| Nicholas County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 8 | 155.8 (109.4, 217.0) | 1.2 | -0.4 (-1.9, 1.0) |
| Fulton County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 7 | 160.0 (109.1, 229.1) | 1.2 | -0.8 (-1.8, 0.1) |
| Trimble County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 7 | 133.6 (92.3, 188.3) | 1.0 | -0.5 (-2.1, 1.1) |
| Hickman County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 7 | 146.1 (99.0, 215.5) | 1.1 | -0.1 (-1.5, 1.3) |
| Owsley County | 6 |
stable
|
similar | 6 | 173.6 (115.6, 254.8) | 1.3 | -0.1 (-1.7, 1.5) |
| Carlisle County |
|
** | similar | 8 | 183.5 (127.3, 260.6) | 1.4 |
|
| Hancock County |
|
** | higher | 11 | 186.3 (138.5, 246.7) | 1.4 |
|
| Robertson County |
|
** |
|
|
|
|
|
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 8:53 pm.
* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Robertson County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Carlisle County, Hancock County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/04/2024 8:53 pm.
Trend2
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90
Rising
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.Stable
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.Falling
when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison
Above
when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10Similar
when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.Below
when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.
State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).
Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Robertson County
Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Carlisle County, Hancock County
Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.
Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.