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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

North Carolina Counties versus United States

Breast

All Races, Female

Sorted by count
Counties
 sort alphabetically by name ascending
Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest

 sort by priority index descending
Recent Trend2
County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
Average Annual Count
 sort by count ascending
Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
 sort by rate descending
Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
 sort by rate descending
Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
 sort by trend descending
United States - falling falling trend - 42,101 19.6 (19.5, 19.7) - -1.3 (-1.4, -1.1)
North Carolina - falling falling trend - 1,384 20.0 (19.6, 20.5) - -1.6 (-1.8, -1.5)
Mecklenburg County 8 falling falling trend similar 109 18.6 (17.1, 20.3) 0.9 -1.9 (-2.3, -1.4)
Wake County 8 falling falling trend similar 109 18.7 (17.1, 20.3) 1.0 -1.7 (-2.3, -1.2)
Guilford County 8 falling falling trend similar 72 20.9 (18.8, 23.3) 1.1 -1.6 (-2.2, -1.1)
Forsyth County 8 falling falling trend similar 56 21.6 (19.1, 24.4) 1.1 -1.2 (-1.7, -0.6)
Cumberland County 5 falling falling trend higher 44 24.8 (21.6, 28.4) 1.3 -0.9 (-1.4, -0.3)
Buncombe County 8 falling falling trend similar 38 19.3 (16.5, 22.4) 1.0 -2.4 (-3.3, -1.6)
Durham County 8 falling falling trend similar 36 19.9 (17.1, 23.1) 1.0 -1.9 (-2.5, -1.3)
New Hanover County 8 falling falling trend similar 34 20.7 (17.6, 24.2) 1.1 -2.0 (-3.0, -1.1)
Gaston County 8 falling falling trend similar 28 18.9 (15.8, 22.4) 1.0 -2.1 (-2.9, -1.4)
Cabarrus County 6 stable stable trend similar 27 22.0 (18.4, 26.1) 1.1 -0.6 (-1.5, 0.3)
Brunswick County 8 falling falling trend similar 26 18.8 (15.3, 23.0) 1.0 -1.5 (-2.4, -0.6)
Alamance County 8 falling falling trend similar 25 21.6 (17.9, 25.9) 1.1 -1.4 (-2.3, -0.5)
Union County 8 falling falling trend similar 25 19.8 (16.4, 23.6) 1.0 -1.7 (-2.7, -0.7)
Henderson County 8 falling falling trend similar 24 21.1 (17.2, 25.8) 1.1 -1.4 (-2.5, -0.2)
Iredell County 8 falling falling trend similar 24 20.0 (16.5, 24.0) 1.0 -0.9 (-1.7, -0.1)
Davidson County 8 falling falling trend similar 23 19.0 (15.6, 23.0) 1.0 -0.9 (-1.7, -0.1)
Catawba County 8 falling falling trend similar 22 20.0 (16.3, 24.3) 1.0 -1.5 (-2.4, -0.7)
Randolph County 8 falling falling trend similar 22 20.9 (17.1, 25.4) 1.1 -1.6 (-2.3, -0.9)
Robeson County 4 stable stable trend higher 21 25.8 (21.0, 31.4) 1.3 -0.8 (-1.6, 0.1)
Wayne County 5 falling falling trend higher 21 24.6 (20.0, 30.0) 1.3 -1.5 (-2.6, -0.5)
Johnston County 8 falling falling trend similar 21 17.0 (13.8, 20.7) 0.9 -2.0 (-3.0, -0.9)
Rowan County 8 falling falling trend similar 20 20.3 (16.5, 24.9) 1.0 -1.8 (-2.7, -0.8)
Pitt County 8 falling falling trend similar 20 18.6 (15.1, 22.8) 0.9 -1.7 (-2.7, -0.7)
Nash County 4 stable stable trend higher 20 29.2 (23.5, 36.0) 1.5 -0.2 (-1.1, 0.8)
Onslow County 6 stable stable trend similar 19 24.4 (19.7, 29.9) 1.2 -0.5 (-1.6, 0.5)
Moore County 8 falling falling trend similar 18 21.1 (16.6, 26.6) 1.1 -1.9 (-2.9, -1.0)
Cleveland County 8 falling falling trend similar 16 21.4 (16.8, 27.0) 1.1 -2.0 (-3.2, -0.7)
Craven County 8 falling falling trend similar 15 22.4 (17.4, 28.6) 1.1 -1.1 (-2.1, -0.1)
Burke County 6 stable stable trend similar 15 22.1 (17.2, 28.3) 1.1 -1.0 (-2.0, 0.1)
Harnett County 8 falling falling trend similar 15 20.2 (15.8, 25.4) 1.0 -2.1 (-3.2, -1.0)
Orange County 8 falling falling trend similar 14 17.1 (13.3, 21.7) 0.9 -2.3 (-3.5, -1.0)
Rockingham County 8 falling falling trend similar 13 18.2 (13.9, 23.6) 0.9 -2.0 (-2.9, -1.0)
Lincoln County 8 falling falling trend similar 13 21.0 (16.0, 27.2) 1.1 -1.7 (-3.3, -0.1)
Vance County 1 rising rising trend higher 12 34.9 (26.1, 45.9) 1.8 5.6 (1.2, 10.2)
Chatham County 8 falling falling trend similar 12 17.6 (13.2, 23.4) 0.9 -3.0 (-4.4, -1.6)
Caldwell County 6 stable stable trend similar 11 18.4 (13.7, 24.3) 0.9 -0.6 (-1.7, 0.4)
Wilson County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 18.2 (13.5, 24.0) 0.9 -1.6 (-2.8, -0.4)
Carteret County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 17.7 (13.0, 24.0) 0.9 -3.2 (-4.4, -2.0)
Edgecombe County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 25.5 (18.8, 34.0) 1.3 -1.3 (-2.2, -0.4)
Columbus County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 22.7 (16.7, 30.5) 1.2 -1.5 (-2.9, -0.1)
Rutherford County 6 stable stable trend similar 10 19.1 (13.9, 25.9) 1.0 -0.8 (-2.0, 0.3)
Surry County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 15.9 (11.8, 21.3) 0.8 -2.0 (-3.4, -0.5)
Wilkes County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 17.9 (12.9, 24.4) 0.9 -1.5 (-2.9, -0.1)
Franklin County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 21.0 (15.3, 28.4) 1.1 -1.5 (-2.9, -0.1)
Halifax County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 24.0 (17.1, 33.0) 1.2 -1.8 (-3.0, -0.5)
Haywood County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 18.2 (12.9, 25.2) 0.9 -2.4 (-3.8, -1.0)
Lenoir County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 21.6 (15.4, 29.7) 1.1 -2.2 (-3.4, -0.9)
Sampson County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 19.1 (13.8, 26.0) 1.0 -2.4 (-3.6, -1.1)
Pender County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 19.5 (14.0, 26.7) 1.0 -1.8 (-3.3, -0.2)
Duplin County 8 falling falling trend similar 8 19.6 (13.6, 27.4) 1.0 -2.7 (-3.6, -1.7)
Granville County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 17.8 (12.4, 25.1) 0.9 -2.6 (-4.0, -1.1)
Pasquotank County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 26.7 (18.5, 37.6) 1.4 -0.5 (-1.8, 0.8)
McDowell County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 19.5 (13.4, 27.9) 1.0 -0.9 (-2.6, 0.9)
Richmond County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 23.1 (15.7, 33.0) 1.2 -2.3 (-3.3, -1.4)
Beaufort County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 17.5 (11.6, 25.7) 0.9 -2.7 (-4.1, -1.2)
Hoke County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 24.8 (16.8, 35.2) 1.3 -1.5 (-3.4, 0.5)
Scotland County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 26.4 (17.5, 38.5) 1.3 -0.8 (-2.4, 0.9)
Alexander County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 22.4 (14.9, 33.0) 1.1 -1.2 (-3.3, 0.8)
Stokes County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 15.9 (10.6, 23.4) 0.8 -1.0 (-2.7, 0.8)
Cherokee County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 22.6 (14.3, 34.9) 1.1 -2.5 (-4.9, -0.1)
Macon County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 18.3 (11.4, 28.6) 0.9 -1.6 (-3.1, 0.0)
Transylvania County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 15.7 (10.1, 24.5) 0.8 -2.8 (-4.5, -1.1)
Watauga County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 18.6 (12.3, 27.3) 0.9 -0.6 (-2.6, 1.4)
Anson County 4 stable stable trend higher 6 32.8 (21.4, 48.8) 1.7 -1.1 (-2.9, 0.7)
Bladen County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 22.9 (14.7, 34.3) 1.2 -2.3 (-4.0, -0.5)
Person County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 17.5 (11.6, 25.8) 0.9 -2.7 (-4.1, -1.3)
Stanly County 9 falling falling trend lower 5 11.9 (7.5, 18.1) 0.6 -2.0 (-3.5, -0.5)
Caswell County 6 stable stable trend similar 4 23.2 (14.1, 37.2) 1.2 -1.3 (-3.2, 0.7)
Yadkin County 8 falling falling trend similar 4 13.7 (8.4, 21.8) 0.7 -2.8 (-4.7, -0.9)
Martin County 6 stable stable trend similar 4 19.4 (11.5, 31.9) 1.0 -0.9 (-2.6, 0.8)
Bertie County 6 stable stable trend similar 3 22.3 (11.4, 40.1) 1.1 -1.5 (-3.6, 0.6)
Hertford County 6 stable stable trend similar 3 15.3 (8.2, 27.1) 0.8 -2.1 (-4.3, 0.0)
Northampton County 6 stable stable trend similar 3 22.6 (12.0, 39.9) 1.2 -1.9 (-4.0, 0.1)
Dare County
**
** similar 7 22.2 (14.9, 32.5) 1.1
**
Davie County
**
** similar 5 15.0 (9.7, 22.7) 0.8
**
Jackson County
**
** similar 5 17.4 (10.5, 27.2) 0.9
**
Lee County
**
** similar 10 24.2 (18.0, 32.2) 1.2
**
Mitchell County
**
** higher 5 36.8 (21.8, 59.5) 1.9
**
Montgomery County
**
** similar 3 17.3 (9.7, 29.0) 0.9
**
Polk County
**
** similar 4 15.1 (8.5, 27.4) 0.8
**
Warren County
**
** similar 3 18.2 (9.6, 32.8) 0.9
**
Yancey County
**
** similar 3 23.1 (12.8, 39.8) 1.2
**
Alleghany County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Ashe County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Avery County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Camden County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Chowan County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Clay County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Currituck County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Gates County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Graham County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Greene County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Hyde County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Jones County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Madison County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Pamlico County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Perquimans County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Swain County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Tyrrell County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Washington County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/05/2024 3:10 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County, Ashe County, Avery County, Camden County, Chowan County, Clay County, Currituck County, Gates County, Graham County, Greene County, Hyde County, Jones County, Madison County, Pamlico County, Perquimans County, Swain County, Tyrrell County, Washington County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Dare County, Davie County, Jackson County, Lee County, Mitchell County, Montgomery County, Polk County, Warren County, Yancey County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

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