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Data Table for Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer

Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, 2016-2020

North Carolina Counties versus United States

Breast

All Races, Female

Sorted by name
Counties
 sort alphabetically by name descending
Priority Index1
1=highest
9=lowest

 sort by priority index descending
Recent Trend2
County Death
Rate
Compared
to
US Rate
Average Annual Count
 sort by count descending
Age-Adjusted Death Rate

deaths per 100,000
(95% Confidence Interval)
 sort by rate descending
Rate
Ratio3
County
to
US
 sort by rate descending
Recent 5-Year Trend2 in Death Rates
(95% Confidence Interval)
 sort by trend descending
United States - falling falling trend - 42,101 19.6 (19.5, 19.7) - -1.3 (-1.4, -1.1)
North Carolina - falling falling trend - 1,384 20.0 (19.6, 20.5) - -1.6 (-1.8, -1.5)
Alamance County 8 falling falling trend similar 25 21.6 (17.9, 25.9) 1.1 -1.4 (-2.3, -0.5)
Alexander County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 22.4 (14.9, 33.0) 1.1 -1.2 (-3.3, 0.8)
Alleghany County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Anson County 4 stable stable trend higher 6 32.8 (21.4, 48.8) 1.7 -1.1 (-2.9, 0.7)
Ashe County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Avery County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Beaufort County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 17.5 (11.6, 25.7) 0.9 -2.7 (-4.1, -1.2)
Bertie County 6 stable stable trend similar 3 22.3 (11.4, 40.1) 1.1 -1.5 (-3.6, 0.6)
Bladen County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 22.9 (14.7, 34.3) 1.2 -2.3 (-4.0, -0.5)
Brunswick County 8 falling falling trend similar 26 18.8 (15.3, 23.0) 1.0 -1.5 (-2.4, -0.6)
Buncombe County 8 falling falling trend similar 38 19.3 (16.5, 22.4) 1.0 -2.4 (-3.3, -1.6)
Burke County 6 stable stable trend similar 15 22.1 (17.2, 28.3) 1.1 -1.0 (-2.0, 0.1)
Cabarrus County 6 stable stable trend similar 27 22.0 (18.4, 26.1) 1.1 -0.6 (-1.5, 0.3)
Caldwell County 6 stable stable trend similar 11 18.4 (13.7, 24.3) 0.9 -0.6 (-1.7, 0.4)
Camden County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Carteret County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 17.7 (13.0, 24.0) 0.9 -3.2 (-4.4, -2.0)
Caswell County 6 stable stable trend similar 4 23.2 (14.1, 37.2) 1.2 -1.3 (-3.2, 0.7)
Catawba County 8 falling falling trend similar 22 20.0 (16.3, 24.3) 1.0 -1.5 (-2.4, -0.7)
Chatham County 8 falling falling trend similar 12 17.6 (13.2, 23.4) 0.9 -3.0 (-4.4, -1.6)
Cherokee County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 22.6 (14.3, 34.9) 1.1 -2.5 (-4.9, -0.1)
Chowan County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Clay County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Cleveland County 8 falling falling trend similar 16 21.4 (16.8, 27.0) 1.1 -2.0 (-3.2, -0.7)
Columbus County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 22.7 (16.7, 30.5) 1.2 -1.5 (-2.9, -0.1)
Craven County 8 falling falling trend similar 15 22.4 (17.4, 28.6) 1.1 -1.1 (-2.1, -0.1)
Cumberland County 5 falling falling trend higher 44 24.8 (21.6, 28.4) 1.3 -0.9 (-1.4, -0.3)
Currituck County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Dare County
**
** similar 7 22.2 (14.9, 32.5) 1.1
**
Davidson County 8 falling falling trend similar 23 19.0 (15.6, 23.0) 1.0 -0.9 (-1.7, -0.1)
Davie County
**
** similar 5 15.0 (9.7, 22.7) 0.8
**
Duplin County 8 falling falling trend similar 8 19.6 (13.6, 27.4) 1.0 -2.7 (-3.6, -1.7)
Durham County 8 falling falling trend similar 36 19.9 (17.1, 23.1) 1.0 -1.9 (-2.5, -1.3)
Edgecombe County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 25.5 (18.8, 34.0) 1.3 -1.3 (-2.2, -0.4)
Forsyth County 8 falling falling trend similar 56 21.6 (19.1, 24.4) 1.1 -1.2 (-1.7, -0.6)
Franklin County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 21.0 (15.3, 28.4) 1.1 -1.5 (-2.9, -0.1)
Gaston County 8 falling falling trend similar 28 18.9 (15.8, 22.4) 1.0 -2.1 (-2.9, -1.4)
Gates County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Graham County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Granville County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 17.8 (12.4, 25.1) 0.9 -2.6 (-4.0, -1.1)
Greene County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Guilford County 8 falling falling trend similar 72 20.9 (18.8, 23.3) 1.1 -1.6 (-2.2, -1.1)
Halifax County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 24.0 (17.1, 33.0) 1.2 -1.8 (-3.0, -0.5)
Harnett County 8 falling falling trend similar 15 20.2 (15.8, 25.4) 1.0 -2.1 (-3.2, -1.0)
Haywood County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 18.2 (12.9, 25.2) 0.9 -2.4 (-3.8, -1.0)
Henderson County 8 falling falling trend similar 24 21.1 (17.2, 25.8) 1.1 -1.4 (-2.5, -0.2)
Hertford County 6 stable stable trend similar 3 15.3 (8.2, 27.1) 0.8 -2.1 (-4.3, 0.0)
Hoke County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 24.8 (16.8, 35.2) 1.3 -1.5 (-3.4, 0.5)
Hyde County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Iredell County 8 falling falling trend similar 24 20.0 (16.5, 24.0) 1.0 -0.9 (-1.7, -0.1)
Jackson County
**
** similar 5 17.4 (10.5, 27.2) 0.9
**
Johnston County 8 falling falling trend similar 21 17.0 (13.8, 20.7) 0.9 -2.0 (-3.0, -0.9)
Jones County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Lee County
**
** similar 10 24.2 (18.0, 32.2) 1.2
**
Lenoir County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 21.6 (15.4, 29.7) 1.1 -2.2 (-3.4, -0.9)
Lincoln County 8 falling falling trend similar 13 21.0 (16.0, 27.2) 1.1 -1.7 (-3.3, -0.1)
Macon County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 18.3 (11.4, 28.6) 0.9 -1.6 (-3.1, 0.0)
Madison County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Martin County 6 stable stable trend similar 4 19.4 (11.5, 31.9) 1.0 -0.9 (-2.6, 0.8)
McDowell County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 19.5 (13.4, 27.9) 1.0 -0.9 (-2.6, 0.9)
Mecklenburg County 8 falling falling trend similar 109 18.6 (17.1, 20.3) 0.9 -1.9 (-2.3, -1.4)
Mitchell County
**
** higher 5 36.8 (21.8, 59.5) 1.9
**
Montgomery County
**
** similar 3 17.3 (9.7, 29.0) 0.9
**
Moore County 8 falling falling trend similar 18 21.1 (16.6, 26.6) 1.1 -1.9 (-2.9, -1.0)
Nash County 4 stable stable trend higher 20 29.2 (23.5, 36.0) 1.5 -0.2 (-1.1, 0.8)
New Hanover County 8 falling falling trend similar 34 20.7 (17.6, 24.2) 1.1 -2.0 (-3.0, -1.1)
Northampton County 6 stable stable trend similar 3 22.6 (12.0, 39.9) 1.2 -1.9 (-4.0, 0.1)
Onslow County 6 stable stable trend similar 19 24.4 (19.7, 29.9) 1.2 -0.5 (-1.6, 0.5)
Orange County 8 falling falling trend similar 14 17.1 (13.3, 21.7) 0.9 -2.3 (-3.5, -1.0)
Pamlico County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Pasquotank County 6 stable stable trend similar 7 26.7 (18.5, 37.6) 1.4 -0.5 (-1.8, 0.8)
Pender County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 19.5 (14.0, 26.7) 1.0 -1.8 (-3.3, -0.2)
Perquimans County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Person County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 17.5 (11.6, 25.8) 0.9 -2.7 (-4.1, -1.3)
Pitt County 8 falling falling trend similar 20 18.6 (15.1, 22.8) 0.9 -1.7 (-2.7, -0.7)
Polk County
**
** similar 4 15.1 (8.5, 27.4) 0.8
**
Randolph County 8 falling falling trend similar 22 20.9 (17.1, 25.4) 1.1 -1.6 (-2.3, -0.9)
Richmond County 8 falling falling trend similar 7 23.1 (15.7, 33.0) 1.2 -2.3 (-3.3, -1.4)
Robeson County 4 stable stable trend higher 21 25.8 (21.0, 31.4) 1.3 -0.8 (-1.6, 0.1)
Rockingham County 8 falling falling trend similar 13 18.2 (13.9, 23.6) 0.9 -2.0 (-2.9, -1.0)
Rowan County 8 falling falling trend similar 20 20.3 (16.5, 24.9) 1.0 -1.8 (-2.7, -0.8)
Rutherford County 6 stable stable trend similar 10 19.1 (13.9, 25.9) 1.0 -0.8 (-2.0, 0.3)
Sampson County 8 falling falling trend similar 9 19.1 (13.8, 26.0) 1.0 -2.4 (-3.6, -1.1)
Scotland County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 26.4 (17.5, 38.5) 1.3 -0.8 (-2.4, 0.9)
Stanly County 9 falling falling trend lower 5 11.9 (7.5, 18.1) 0.6 -2.0 (-3.5, -0.5)
Stokes County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 15.9 (10.6, 23.4) 0.8 -1.0 (-2.7, 0.8)
Surry County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 15.9 (11.8, 21.3) 0.8 -2.0 (-3.4, -0.5)
Swain County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Transylvania County 8 falling falling trend similar 6 15.7 (10.1, 24.5) 0.8 -2.8 (-4.5, -1.1)
Tyrrell County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Union County 8 falling falling trend similar 25 19.8 (16.4, 23.6) 1.0 -1.7 (-2.7, -0.7)
Vance County 1 rising rising trend higher 12 34.9 (26.1, 45.9) 1.8 5.6 (1.2, 10.2)
Wake County 8 falling falling trend similar 109 18.7 (17.1, 20.3) 1.0 -1.7 (-2.3, -1.2)
Warren County
**
** similar 3 18.2 (9.6, 32.8) 0.9
**
Washington County
**
**
*
3 or fewer
*
*
**
Watauga County 6 stable stable trend similar 6 18.6 (12.3, 27.3) 0.9 -0.6 (-2.6, 1.4)
Wayne County 5 falling falling trend higher 21 24.6 (20.0, 30.0) 1.3 -1.5 (-2.6, -0.5)
Wilkes County 8 falling falling trend similar 10 17.9 (12.9, 24.4) 0.9 -1.5 (-2.9, -0.1)
Wilson County 8 falling falling trend similar 11 18.2 (13.5, 24.0) 0.9 -1.6 (-2.8, -0.4)
Yadkin County 8 falling falling trend similar 4 13.7 (8.4, 21.8) 0.7 -2.8 (-4.7, -0.9)
Yancey County
**
** similar 3 23.1 (12.8, 39.8) 1.2
**
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 05/05/2024 3:16 am.

Trend2
     Rising     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.
     Stable     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.
     Falling     when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.
Rate Comparison
     Above     when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10
     Similar     when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.
     Below     when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.90

* Data has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates.
** Data are too sparse to provide stable estimates of annual rates needed to calculate trend.
1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate.
2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 4.8.0.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas.
3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data.
Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable.

State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information).

Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates:
Alleghany County, Ashe County, Avery County, Camden County, Chowan County, Clay County, Currituck County, Gates County, Graham County, Greene County, Hyde County, Jones County, Madison County, Pamlico County, Perquimans County, Swain County, Tyrrell County, Washington County

Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year:
Dare County, Davie County, Jackson County, Lee County, Mitchell County, Montgomery County, Polk County, Warren County, Yancey County


Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate.

Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico.

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