Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer Table
| Above US Rate | Similar to US Rate | Below US Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising Trend |
Priority 1: rising  and above |
Priority 2: rising and similar  |
Priority 3: rising and below  |
| Stable Trend |
Priority 4: stable  and above Danville City Lynchburg City Newport News City Petersburg City Virginia Beach City |
Priority 6: stable and similar Arlington County Gloucester County Hanover County Henrico County Prince William County Pulaski County Salem City Stafford County Warren County Washington County Winchester City York County |
Priority 7: stable and below Fairfax County |
| Falling Trend |
Priority 5: falling and above Accomack County Norfolk City Portsmouth City Richmond City Roanoke City |
Priority 8: falling and similar Albemarle County Alexandria City Augusta County Bedford City and County Chesapeake City Chesterfield County Culpeper County Fauquier County Franklin County Frederick County Halifax County with South Boston City Hampton City Henry County James City County Louisa County Mecklenburg County Montgomery County Roanoke County Rockingham County Shenandoah County Smyth County Suffolk City Wise County |
Priority 9: falling and below Loudoun County |
| Notes: Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 07/12/2025 6:43 am. Trend2 Rising when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is above 0.Stable when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change includes 0.Falling when 95% confidence interval of average annual percent change is below 0.Rate Comparison Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio3 > 1.10Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence.Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio3 < 0.901 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate. 2 Recent trend in death rates is usually an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) based on the APCs calculated by Joinpoint Version 5.3.0. Due to data availability issues, the time period and/or calculation method used in the calculation of the trends may differ for selected geographic areas. 3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. Previous versions of this table used one-year rates for states and five-year rates for counties. As of June 2018, only five-year rates are used. Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). The Healthy People 2020 goals are based on rates adjusted using different methods but the differences should be minimal. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. The US Population Data File is used with mortality data. Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable. State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information). Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates: Alleghany County and Clifton Forge City, Amelia County, Appomattox County, Bath County, Bland County, Bristol City, Brunswick County, Buchanan County, Buckingham County, Buena Vista City, Charles City County, Charlotte County, Charlottesville City, Clarke County, Covington City, Craig County, Cumberland County, Dickenson County, Emporia City, Essex County, Falls Church City, Franklin City, Fredericksburg City, Galax City, Giles County, Grayson County, Greene County, Greensville County, Highland County, Hopewell City, King George County, King William County, King and Queen County, Lancaster County, Lexington City, Lunenburg County, Madison County, Manassas City, Manassas Park City, Martinsville City, Mathews County, Middlesex County, New Kent County, Northampton County, Northumberland County, Norton City, Patrick County, Poquoson City, Powhatan County, Prince Edward County, Prince George County, Radford City, Rappahannock County, Richmond County, Rockbridge County, Staunton City, Surry County, Sussex County, Waynesboro City, Westmoreland County, Williamsburg City Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year: Amherst County, Botetourt County, Campbell County, Caroline County, Carroll County, Colonial Heights City, Dinwiddie County, Fairfax City, Floyd County, Fluvanna County, Goochland County, Harrisonburg City, Isle of Wight County, Lee County, Nelson County, Nottoway County, Orange County, Page County, Pittsylvania County, Russell County, Scott County, Southampton County, Spotsylvania County, Tazewell County, Wythe County Interpret Rankings provides insight into interpreting cancer statistics. When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Data for United States does not include Puerto Rico. |
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